Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:2
16/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.78
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
710
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
555494
Completed Passes
464420
Tackles
1310
Attacks
9677
Dangerous Attacks
5031
Clearances Completed
1015
Crosses Completed
612
Distance Covered (km)
116114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Brandt J. , Hummels M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 43', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hermoso M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Molina N. , Barrios P. ,
  • 46', Morata A. , Correa A. ,
  • 46', Azpilicueta C. , Riquelme R. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Hummels M. (Own goal), Hermoso M. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Correa A. ,
  • 66', Adeyemi K. , Bynoe-Gittens J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Fullkrug N. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 74', 4 - 2, Sabitzer M. ,
  • 84', de Paul R. , Niguez S. ,
  • 86', Sancho J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 90', Brandt J. , Reus M. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
43.9%
Draw
25.9%
Atlético Madrid
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.4% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.31)
    3.73
    (3.62)
    3.18
    (2.96)
    3.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 47 - 61.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 14 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.9%72.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Atlético have a series of home games.
    • Borussia D will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lino S. (Yellow Cards) Vitolo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J. (Back Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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