Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:2
16/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.78
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
710
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
555494
Completed Passes
464420
Tackles
1310
Attacks
9677
Dangerous Attacks
5031
Clearances Completed
1015
Crosses Completed
612
Distance Covered (km)
116114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Brandt J. , Hummels M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 43', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hermoso M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Molina N. , Barrios P. ,
  • 46', Morata A. , Correa A. ,
  • 46', Azpilicueta C. , Riquelme R. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Hummels M. (Own goal), Hermoso M. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Correa A. ,
  • 66', Adeyemi K. , Bynoe-Gittens J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Fullkrug N. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 74', 4 - 2, Sabitzer M. ,
  • 84', de Paul R. , Niguez S. ,
  • 86', Sancho J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 90', Brandt J. , Reus M. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
43.9%
Draw
25.9%
Atlético Madrid
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.4% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.31)
    3.73
    (3.62)
    3.18
    (2.96)
    3.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 47 - 61.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 14 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.9%72.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Atlético have a series of home games.
    • Borussia D will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lino S. (Yellow Cards) Vitolo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J. (Back Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV
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