Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 4
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.98
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
89% (560/626)	86% (340/396)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	0.25
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
15	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
89% (560/626)	86% (340/396)
Long passes
65% (34/52)	56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
79% (132/167)	83% (98/118)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.52
Throw-ins
13	15
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
33% (4/12)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
41	41
Clearances
16	15
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.25	1.52
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Barrios P. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
24', Parejo D. 🟨,
32', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alvarez J. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
64', Pepe N. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
64', Moleiro A. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
64', Partey T. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
65', Veiga R. 🟨,
73', Ruggeri M. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
76', Ruggeri M. ↓, Hancko D. ↑,
77', Le Normand R. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
79', Cardona S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
79', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
83', Hancko D. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
84', Mourino S. 🟨,
90+4', Pedraza A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
53.7%

Draw
24.9%

Villarreal
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.83 ↑ (3.53)	4.46 ↑ (4.13)	4.4% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Villarreal will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 46.1% – 75.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Atlético (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.
Atlético has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villarreal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Villarreal?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Atlético Madrid?

Villarreal has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:

25.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 1:1

19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2

01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2

12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1

04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

30.08.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Atlético Madrid - Elche 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Newcastle United - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Porto - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Arsenal - Villarreal 2:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	27	22	1	4	72:26	46	67
2	Real Madrid	27	20	3	4	56:23	33	63
3	Atl. Madrid	27	16	6	5	46:25	21	54
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	27	10	10	7	37:30	7	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	27	9	8	10	40:41	-1	35
9	Ath Bilbao	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35
10	Osasuna	27	9	7	11	32:32	0	34
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Girona	27	7	10	10	28:43	-15	31
13	Rayo Vallecano	26	7	9	10	26:32	-6	30
14	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
15	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	27	6	7	14	31:44	-13	25
19	Levante	27	5	7	15	29:45	-16	22
20	Oviedo	26	3	8	15	16:43	-27	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Belgium	DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Europe	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15