Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.71	2.28
Ball possession
29%	71%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	8
Big chances
4	7
Corner kicks
2	4
Passes
71% (203/285)	90% (628/697)
Yellow cards
0	1
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.71	2.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.70	2.98
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
8	9
Shots outside the box
7	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	7
Corner kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
26	39
Accurate through passes
1	4
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
8	15
Passes
71% (203/285)	90% (628/697)
Long passes
36% (20/55)	59% (13/22)
Passes in final third
57% (43/76)	81% (162/200)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.17	2.35
Throw ins
16	19
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
56% (15/27)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
20	30
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	4
xGOT faced
2.98	1.70
Goals prevented
0.98	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Torres F. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Torres F. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Lookman A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Simeone G. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
66', Lookman A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
68', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
68', Fermín ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
69', Gavi 🟨,
76', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
79', Garcia E. 🟥,
81', Gavi ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
89', Koke ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
89', Cancelo J. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
89', Olmo D. ↓, Bardghji R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
24.8%

Draw
20.6%

Barcelona
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

20%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Madrid - Barcelona Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.71)	4.66 ↓ (4.73)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)	3.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Barcelona?

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 13 - 18.8%). Barcelona will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65.2% – 85.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Barcelona (3.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Barcelona (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlético (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Barcelona (votes: 12 - 85.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.
Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barcelona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
There will not play in Atlético: Pubill M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Cubarsi P. (Red Card) Raphinha (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Hancko D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Barcelona?

Atlético Madrid has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Atlético Madrid?

Barcelona has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Barcelona were as follows:

08.04.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2

04.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2

03.03.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:0

12.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0

02.12.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

11.04.2026 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

08.04.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona

11.04.2026 Barcelona - Espanyol 4:1 ✺

08.04.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Barcelona - Newcastle United 7:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	1	1	0	0	6:1	5	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	5:0	5	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
4	Manchester Utd	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
6	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
10	Lens	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
11	Betis	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
13	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
14	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
15	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
16	AEK Athens	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
17	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	PSV	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
22	Lille	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
23	Slavia Prague	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	LASK	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
34	Sabah Baku	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Barcelona?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Selekt, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	HBO Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	Sport 24 Extra