Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MHPArena (Stuttgart).

: Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.57	0.50
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
84% (517/616)	70% (211/303)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.57	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	1.54
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
6	4
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
31	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
84% (517/616)	70% (211/303)
Long passes
55% (38/69)	24% (14/58)
Passes in final third
75% (157/208)	45% (29/65)
Crosses
28% (7/25)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.24
Throw ins
23	12
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
46% (6/13)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
55	44
Clearances
19	41
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.54	0.15
Goals prevented
-0.46	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
64', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
65', Hendriks R. 🟨,
69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
71', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
72', Beier M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
72', Assignon L. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
72', Nartey N. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
80', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
88', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
88', Stiller A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 2, Brandt J. ⚽, Silva F. (A),
90+7', Ryerson J. 🟨,
90+7', Karazor A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stuttgart
39.1%

Draw
24.8%

Borussia Dortmund
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

23.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

23.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Borussia Dortmund aligns with the current prediction.

Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)	3.84 ↓ (4.08)	2.65 ↑ (2.57)	4.6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 57.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Borussia D (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Borussia D (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Borussia D (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:46. (average 1.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Borussia Dortmund?

Stuttgart has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Stuttgart?

Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:

22.11.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 3:3

08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2

22.09.2024 Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund 5:1

06.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 0:1

06.12.2023 Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund 2:0

Latest results of Stuttgart

22.03.2026 Augsburg - Stuttgart 2:5 ✺

19.03.2026 Porto - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

12.03.2026 Stuttgart - Porto 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

21.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 3:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

25.02.2026 Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund 4:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	28	5	1	122:36	86	89
2	Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70:34	36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66:47	19	65
4	Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71:49	22	62
5	Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65:52	13	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68:47	21	59
7	Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51:57	-6	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61:65	-4	44
9	Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45:61	-16	43
10	Mainz	34	10	10	14	44:53	-9	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	-14	39
12	B. Monchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42:53	-11	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40:54	-14	38
14	FC Koln	34	7	11	16	49:63	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37:60	-23	32
16	Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45:69	-24	29
17	Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41:72	-31	26
18	St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29:60	-31	26

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball