Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.170.46
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
41
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
11
Passes
83% (417/501)85% (415/489)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
2.170.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.05
Total shots
126
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
115
Shots outside the box
11
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
2811
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1714
Passes
83% (417/501)85% (415/489)
Long passes
40% (17/43)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)70% (75/107)
Crosses
43% (6/14)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.110.88
Throw ins
2217
Fouls
1417
Tackles
76% (13/17)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.051.20
Goals prevented
0.050.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Stoger K. 🟨,
  • 56', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 61', Beier M. , Svensson D. ,
  • 66', Mohya W. , Bolin H. ,
  • 70', Chiarodia F. C. , Diks K. ,
  • 70', Stoger K. , Reyna G. ,
  • 76', Bellingham J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 76', Guirassy S. , Silva F. ,
  • 84', Ryerson J. , Couto Y. ,
  • 84', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 87', Elvedi N. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Tabakovic H. , Reitz R. (A),
  • 90+1', Tabakovic H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tabakovic H. , Machino S. ,
  • 90+1', Reitz R. , Hack R. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Mönchengladbach
26.2%
Draw
25%
Borussia Dortmund
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 24.4% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 23.8% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.76)
    3.84
    (3.87)
    1.97
    (1.88)
    4.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 71.35%92.65%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 23:50. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    19.12.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:0
    20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2
    07.12.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    13.04.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    25.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:2
    Latest results of Borussia Mönchengladbach
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund?
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