Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/08/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 23

Match Stats


Goals
13	8
Behinds
14	8
Kicks
233	208
Handballs
171	165
Disposals
404	373
Frees For
14	18
Frees Against
18	14
Clearances Completed
36	39
Marks
102	67
Tackles
53	66
Hitouts
32	44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (33 - 6)
00:49, Moore D. (G),
03:50, Gunston J. (G),
06:48, Gunston J. (G),
09:24, Petty H. (G),
11:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
13:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
14:41, Gunston J. (Behind),
25:08, Watson N. (G),
28:17, Dear C. (G),
2nd Quarter (16 - 9)
00:51, (Behind Rushed),
04:36, Petracca C. (Behind),
06:28, Moore D. (G),
09:49, Langford H. (Behind),
13:48, Gunston J. (Behind),
14:20, Gunston J. (G),
16:22, Chol M. (Behind),
18:12, Oliver C. (G),
20:01, Sharp H. (Behind),
25:47, Chol M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (21 - 12)
01:08, Chandler K. (G),
03:38, Gunston J. (G),
10:43, Macdonald C. (Behind),
14:55, Breust L. (G),
16:50, Petty H. (G),
24:49, Gunston J. (G),
29:22, Dear C. (Behind),
30:15, Breust L. (Behind),
4th Quarter (22 - 29)
01:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
03:32, Gunston J. (G),
05:36, Gunston J. (Behind),
08:58, Jiath C. (Behind),
11:30, Gunston J. (G),
13:10, Macdonald C. (Behind),
14:55, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
18:20, (Behind Rushed),
19:23, Sharp H. (Behind),
19:57, Chandler K. (Behind),
23:22, Macdonald C. (G),
25:36, Gawn M. (Behind),
26:07, Sharp H. (Behind),
28:34, Langford H. (G),
30:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
32:31, Pickett K. (G),

Chances of winning

Hawthorn Hawks
71.6%

Melbourne Demons
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)		3.28 ↓ (3.42)	6.5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hawthorn Hawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:72.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hawthorn is the team to beat.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1479:1444. (average 77.8:76).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:803. (average 77.6:80.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Melbourne Demons?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Melbourne Demons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons were as follows:

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91

23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93

20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60

13.05.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 49:103

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

07.08.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 110:46 ✺

01.08.2025 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 101:87 ✺

24.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues 85:61 ✺

18.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power 87:49 ✺

12.07.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 77:64 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

10.08.2025 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 99:105 ✺

01.08.2025 Melbourne Demons - West Coast Eagles 139:56 ✺

27.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 96:90 ✺

19.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 78:70 ✺

12.07.2025 Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos 119:83 ✺

AFL Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Brisbane Lions	23	16	1	6	2061:1804	114.25	66
4	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
5	GWS Giants	23	16	0	7	2114:1834	115.27	64
6	Fremantle Dockers	23	16	0	7	1978:1815	108.98	64
7	Gold Coast Suns	23	15	0	8	2173:1740	124.89	60
8	Hawthorn Hawks	23	15	0	8	2045:1691	120.93	60
9	Western Bulldogs	23	14	0	9	2493:1820	136.98	56
10	Sydney Swans	23	12	0	11	1845:1902	97.00	48
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	23	9	0	14	1839:2077	88.54	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	23	6	0	17	1535:2209	69.49	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	23	1	0	22	1466:2438	60.13	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1