Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
56:91
09/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 9
Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
713
Behinds
1413
Kicks
215203
Handballs
145166
Disposals
360369
Frees For
2222
Frees Against
2222
Clearances Completed
3925
Marks
9798
Tackles
5943
Hitouts
4127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (15 - 21)
  • 00:53, Spargo C. (Behind),
  • 01:59, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 03:55, Meek L. (G),
  • 05:23, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 06:39, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 08:06, Langford H. (G),
  • 12:11, Breust L. (G),
  • 17:17, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:45, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 26:02, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 29:02, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (19 - 14)
  • 01:53, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 03:19, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 04:22, Sharp H. (Behind),
  • 08:18, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 10:04, Windsor C. (Behind),
  • 11:43, Moore D. (G),
  • 16:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 18:14, Spargo C. (Behind),
  • 21:55, Pickett K. (G),
  • 23:49, Watson N. (G),
  • 25:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 28:45, Langford H. (G),
  • 30:25, Langdon E. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (15 - 15)
  • 01:52, Sicily J. (Behind),
  • 04:37, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 05:30, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 09:15, Ward J. (G),
  • 13:00, Langford H. (G),
  • 16:25, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 17:17, Sharp H. (G),
  • 19:05, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 22:58, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 24:19, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (7 - 41)
  • 02:44, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 04:38, Gunston J. (G),
  • 07:15, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:36, Chol M. (G),
  • 14:10, Pickett K. (G),
  • 15:55, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 17:46, Chol M. (G),
  • 24:43, Gunston J. (G),
  • 25:58, Weddle J. (G),
  • 27:22, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 29:12, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 32', (Behind),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
24.7%
Hawthorn Hawks
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (3.44)

    1.24
    (1.31)
    7.7%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:97.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1388:1388. (average 77.1:77.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 585:612. (average 73.1:76.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93
    20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60
    13.05.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 49:103
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1714031571:1154136.1456
    2Brisbane Lions1712141539:1318116.7750
    3Adelaide Crows1712051678:1233136.0948
    4Geelong Cats1611051601:1210132.3144
    5Gold Coast Suns1611051501:1232121.8344
    6Hawthorn Hawks1611051441:1212118.8944
    7Western Bulldogs1710071814:1397129.8540
    8GWS Giants1610061405:1255111.9540
    9Fremantle Dockers1610061354:1245108.7640
    10Sydney Swans167091265:135493.4328
    11Port Adelaide Power167091248:142587.5828
    12Carlton Blues1760111311:139993.7124
    13Essendon Bombers156091084:141976.3924
    14Melbourne Demons1650111253:144686.6520
    15St Kilda Saints1650111270:148285.7020
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers1630131015:161063.0412
    18West Coast Eagles1610151055:165063.944

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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