Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
40:72
03/09/2026 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
510
Behinds
1012
Kicks
215204
Handballs
185122
Disposals
400326
Frees for
1313
Frees against
1313
Clearances completed
3132
Marks
10477
Tackles
4857
Hitouts
3130

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (9 - 28)
  • 02:01, Jackson L. (G),
  • 06:20, Watson N. (G),
  • 08:57, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 10:44, Johnson M. (Behind),
  • 12:21, Amiss J. (Behind),
  • 13:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:35, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 16:34, Moore D. (G),
  • 19:35, Chol M. (G),
  • 22:29, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:54, Gunston J. (G),
  • 28:06, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (1 - 15)
  • 04:57, Clark J. (Behind),
  • 06:57, Gunston J. (G),
  • 09:33, Day W. (Behind),
  • 12:18, Moore D. (G),
  • 14:49, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:11, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
  • 01:04, Amiss J. (G),
  • 03:28, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 10:14, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 11:55, Dudley I. (Behind),
  • 14:53, Brayshaw A. (Behind),
  • 16:46, Brayshaw A. (G),
  • 18:41, Lewis M. (G),
  • 21:54, Lewis M. (Behind),
  • 23:59, Switkowski S. (G),
  • 26:17, Watson N. (G),
  • 27:43, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 28:35, Voss P. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (9 - 8)
  • 01:55, Switkowski S. (Behind),
  • 03:17, Morrison H. (G),
  • 06:13, Jackson L. (Behind),
  • 10:47, Dudley I. (Behind),
  • 16:21, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 19:16, Treacy J. (G),
  • 22:00, Watson N. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Fremantle Dockers
65.4%
Hawthorn Hawks
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 0.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

91.2% 0.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (+25.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43 ↑
    (1.42)
    ↓
    2.7
    (2.7)
    7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 161.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
    What is the prediction for Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fremantle (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DNB, 3Q - Fremantle (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +6.5 Points, OT - Fremantle (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fremantle (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:74.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 4.
    • Recent performances by Fremantle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fremantle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1462:1613. (average 73.1:80.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fremantle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 799:777. (average 79.9:77.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    07.05.2026 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 88:73
    12.07.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 77:64
    12.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Fremantle Dockers 87:74
    25.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Fremantle Dockers 56:93
    06.05.2023 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 117:48
    Latest results of Fremantle Dockers
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Sydney Swans (2)Brisbane Lions (3)141 : 88
    4Geelong Cats (5)Carlton Blues (10)107 : 74
    5Fremantle Dockers (1)Hawthorn Hawks (4)40 : 72
    8Adelaide Crows (6)Western Bulldogs (8)90 : 68

    Quarter-finals
    1Sydney Swans (2)Bye
    2Fremantle Dockers (1)Geelong Cats (5)120 : 106
    3Hawthorn Hawks (4)Bye
    4Brisbane Lions (3)Adelaide Crows (6)144 : 91

    Semi-finals
    1Sydney Swans (2)Fremantle Dockers (1)71 : 83
    2Hawthorn Hawks (4)Brisbane Lions (3)122 : 131

    Final
    1Fremantle Dockers (1)Brisbane Lions (3)89 : 96
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL TV, Fox Footy
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHBO Max, TNT Sports 1
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