Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs
Result
71:77
05/06/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 13
Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
912
Behinds
175
Kicks
233208
Handballs
185131
Disposals
418339
Frees for
1917
Frees against
1719
Clearances completed
3733
Marks
11372
Tackles
5956
Hitouts
4325

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (14 - 12)
  • 03:15, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 06:48, Dale B. (G),
  • 08:05, Watson N. (G),
  • 10:40, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 11:28, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 19:34, Croft J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (40 - 15)
  • 00:54, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 02:53, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 06:15, Reeves N. (G),
  • 07:30, Jones A. (G),
  • 08:38, West R. (G),
  • 12:13, Watson N. (G),
  • 13:50, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 14:47, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 16:17, Day W. (G),
  • 18:02, West R. (Behind),
  • 19:27, Richards E. (Behind),
  • 20:50, Lewis M. (Behind),
  • 21:57, Chol M. (G),
  • 23:36, Watson N. (G),
  • 25:03, Chol M. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (12 - 31)
  • 01:18, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 03:39, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 06:21, Croft J. (G),
  • 08:28, Bontempelli M. (G),
  • 10:21, West R. (Behind),
  • 12:01, Treloar A. (G),
  • 14:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:46, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 17:34, Chol M. (G),
  • 20:03, Croft J. (G),
  • 23:07, Lewis W. (G),
  • 26:55, Lewis M. (Behind),
  • 29:54, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (5 - 19)
  • 03:12, Meek L. (Behind),
  • 03:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 04:46, English T. (G),
  • 07:13, Bontempelli M. (G),
  • 14:15, Naughton A. (G),
  • 17:47, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 21:14, Treloar A. (Behind),
  • 25:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:01, Weddle J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Hawthorn Hawks
63.4%
Draw
2%
Western Bulldogs
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawthorn Hawks's form might have worsened.
  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.33)
    60.33
    2.67
    (3.35)
    9.4%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1690:1609. (average 84.5:80.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 971:929. (average 80.9:77.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs were as follows:
    11.04.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 104:64
    05.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 59:81
    27.02.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 66:77
    06.09.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 62:99
    05.05.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 91:98
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Fremantle Dockers (1)Hawthorn Hawks (4)40 : 72
    4Adelaide Crows (6)Western Bulldogs (8)90 : 68
    5Sydney Swans (2)Brisbane Lions (3)141 : 88
    8Geelong Cats (5)Carlton Blues (10)107 : 74

    Quarter-finals
    1Hawthorn Hawks (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Adelaide Crows (6)144 : 91
    3Sydney Swans (2)Bye
    4Fremantle Dockers (1)Geelong Cats (5)120 : 106

    Semi-finals
    1Hawthorn Hawks (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Sydney Swans (2)Fremantle Dockers (1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
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