Result
125:58
07/08/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 260 | 187 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 134 | 157 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 394 | 344 |
| Frees for |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Frees against |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Clearances completed |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 109 | 77 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (15 - 9)
- 00:53, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 12:23, Gunston J. (G),
- 17:25, Morrison H. (Behind),
- 18:34, Morris L. (G),
- 19:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:46, Morris L. (G),
- 27:03, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 27:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:15, Butler S. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (41 - 19)
- 00:55, Cameron C. (G),
- 02:42, Hipwood E. (G),
- 05:01, Morris L. (G),
- 09:19, Gunston J. (G),
- 12:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:00, Morris L. (G),
- 15:17, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 17:37, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
- 19:12, Berry J. (Behind),
- 20:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:56, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
- 23:04, Lohmann K. (G),
- 25:13, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 27:37, Cameron C. (G),
- 32:47, Impey J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (34 - 16)
- 02:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:21, Draper S. (G),
- 04:58, Moore D. (Behind),
- 05:48, Impey J. (Behind),
- 07:12, Watson N. (Behind),
- 08:24, Macdonald C. (G),
- 12:56, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 14:31, Hipwood E. (G),
- 16:54, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
- 18:46, Lohmann K. (G),
- 21:12, Lohmann K. (G),
- 22:53, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 26:20, Moore D. (G),
- 27:40, Annable D. (G),
- 29:09, Allen O. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (35 - 14)
- 04:35, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 08:10, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
- 09:16, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 09:56, Lohmann K. (G),
- 12:05, Weddle J. (G),
- 13:51, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 14:53, Lohmann K. (G),
- 17:48, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 19:20, Butler S. (Behind),
- 20:34, Lester R. (G),
- 23:43, Morris L. (Behind),
- 25:42, Rayner C. (G),
- 28:09, Cameron C. (G),
- 29:38, Gunston J. (G),
Chances of winning
Brisbane Lions
52% | Hawthorn Hawks
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lions's form might have worsened.Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawthorn Hawks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.5) |
|
1.93 ↓
(2.44) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks?
- Users Predictions:
Brisbane Lions will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 93:91.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1485:1624. (average 78.2:85.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 492:413. (average 82:68.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Brisbane Lions has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Brisbane Lions?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
24.08.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Hawthorn Hawks
89:79
24.05.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
60:93
25.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
100:75
09.06.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Brisbane Lions
98:73
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Fremantle Dockers | 20 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1983:1346 | 147.33 | 72 |
| 2 | Sydney Swans | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 2141:1653 | 129.52 | 60 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 2061:1744 | 118.18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 21 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 2245:1905 | 117.85 | 56 |
| 5 | Adelaide Crows | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1861:1582 | 117.64 | 52 |
| 6 | Melbourne Demons | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1969:1826 | 107.83 | 52 |
| 7 | Geelong Cats | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 1980:1689 | 117.23 | 48 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 21 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 1711:1823 | 93.86 | 48 |
| 9 | Collingwood Magpies | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 1716:1625 | 105.60 | 46 |
| 10 | Carlton Blues | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 1700:1752 | 97.03 | 40 |
| 11 | St Kilda Saints | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 1794:1720 | 104.30 | 36 |
| 12 | GWS Giants | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 1784:1802 | 99.00 | 36 |
| 13 | North Melbourne | 21 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 1752:1927 | 90.92 | 36 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Suns | 20 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 1776:1876 | 94.67 | 28 |
| 15 | Port Adelaide Power | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 1573:1654 | 95.10 | 24 |
| 16 | West Coast Eagles | 20 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 1415:1998 | 70.82 | 16 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 1308:2083 | 62.79 | 12 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 20 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1380:2144 | 64.37 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
