Result
67:119
28/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 214 | 215 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 172 | 212 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 386 | 427 |
| Frees for |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Frees against |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Clearances completed |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 94 | 99 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (2 - 20)
- 03:12, Gunston J. (G),
- 05:44, Gunston J. (G),
- 08:16, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 14:04, Phillipou M. (Behind),
- 16:10, Battle J. (Behind),
- 17:22, Chol M. (G),
- 20:31, Phillipou M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (3 - 35)
- 00:15, Gunston J. (G),
- 04:35, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 06:18, Lewis M. (G),
- 08:10, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 10:44, Henry L. (Behind),
- 14:21, Day W. (Behind),
- 15:24, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 18:33, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 20:02, Caminiti A. (Behind),
- 22:40, Gunston J. (G),
- 24:56, Lewis M. (G),
- 27:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:19, Hall M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (38 - 34)
- 01:57, Silvagni J. (G),
- 03:42, Chol M. (G),
- 05:29, De Koning T. (G),
- 08:30, Silvagni J. (Behind),
- 09:20, Wilson D. (G),
- 10:45, Watson N. (G),
- 13:22, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 13:57, Lewis M. (G),
- 18:11, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 19:09, Silvagni J. (G),
- 22:16, Tauru A. (G),
- 24:18, Ward J. (Behind),
- 24:30, Gunston J. (G),
- 26:14, Marshall R. (G),
- 27:18, Sinclair J. (Behind),
- 30:51, Macdonald C. (G),
- 33:48, Watson N. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (24 - 30)
- 03:02, De Koning T. (G),
- 04:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:13, Hardwick B. (G),
- 06:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:00, Windhager M. (Behind),
- 10:27, Windhager M. (G),
- 14:41, Silvagni J. (Behind),
- 15:19, Hardwick B. (G),
- 17:04, Silvagni J. (G),
- 19:26, Watson N. (G),
- 22:21, Silvagni J. (Behind),
- 23:44, Hardwick B. (G),
- 28:22, Garcia H. (Behind),
- 29:47, Hardwick B. (G),
Chances of winning
St Kilda Saints
30.6% | Hawthorn Hawks
69.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Kilda Saints's form might have worsened.Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawthorn Hawks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.55) |
|
1.39 ↓
(1.52) |
7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)
What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks?
- Users Predictions:
Hawthorn Hawks will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hawthorn Hawks will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:99.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Hawthorn is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1475:1618. (average 77.6:85.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 860:988. (average 71.7:82.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Hawthorn Hawks?
St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against St Kilda Saints?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
05.07.2025
St Kilda Saints
-
Hawthorn Hawks
74:94
10.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
58:53
29.07.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
93:122
26.05.2023
St Kilda Saints
-
Hawthorn Hawks
78:88
Latest results of St Kilda Saints
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Fremantle Dockers | 22 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2204:1547 | 142.47 | 76 |
| 2 | Sydney Swans | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2420:1799 | 134.52 | 68 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2340:1958 | 119.51 | 60 |
| 4 | Hawthorn Hawks | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 2153:1836 | 117.27 | 60 |
| 5 | Melbourne Demons | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2214:1991 | 111.20 | 60 |
| 6 | Geelong Cats | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2222:1849 | 120.17 | 56 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2012:1748 | 115.10 | 56 |
| 8 | Collingwood Magpies | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 1925:1815 | 106.06 | 52 |
| 9 | Western Bulldogs | 22 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 1793:1905 | 94.12 | 50 |
| 10 | Carlton Blues | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 1888:1896 | 99.58 | 46 |
| 11 | St Kilda Saints | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 1950:1871 | 104.22 | 40 |
| 12 | GWS Giants | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 1972:1938 | 101.75 | 40 |
| 13 | North Melbourne | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 1862:2052 | 90.74 | 36 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Suns | 22 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 1908:2048 | 93.16 | 32 |
| 15 | Port Adelaide Power | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 1699:1953 | 86.99 | 24 |
| 16 | West Coast Eagles | 22 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1570:2226 | 70.53 | 16 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 22 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 1407:2240 | 62.81 | 12 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1506:2373 | 63.46 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
