Result
101:123
02/07/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 200 | 266 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 164 | 118 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 364 | 384 |
| Frees for |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Frees against |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Clearances completed |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 66 | 102 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (11 - 48)
- 00:55, Cameron C. (G),
- 02:12, Cameron C. (G),
- 04:11, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 05:11, Neale S. (Behind),
- 07:14, Morris L. (G),
- 10:11, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 12:22, Bailey Z. (G),
- 13:47, Bailey Z. (G),
- 16:51, Neale S. (Behind),
- 19:26, Morris L. (G),
- 26:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:20, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 28:29, Lohmann K. (G),
- 30:40, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (42 - 12)
- 00:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:12, Smith B. (Behind),
- 02:42, Martin J. (Behind),
- 03:50, Neale S. (G),
- 04:59, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 07:59, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:14, Neale S. (G),
- 15:33, Martin J. (G),
- 19:29, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 19:57, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 22:48, Lohmann K. (G),
- 24:57, Martin J. (G),
- 28:16, McKenna C. (Behind),
- 29:47, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 30:28, Neale S. (G),
- 32:10, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
- 33:47, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
- 34:56, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (27 - 50)
- 02:38, McKenna C. (Behind),
- 03:01, Dempsey O. (G),
- 04:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:25, Morris L. (G),
- 07:31, Dunkley J. (G),
- 09:32, Rayner C. (G),
- 11:42, Blicavs M. (Behind),
- 13:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:19, Wiltshire O. (G),
- 17:38, McKenna C. (G),
- 18:46, Bailey Z. (G),
- 21:03, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 23:45, Lohmann K. (G),
- 25:17, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 27:51, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 29:29, Lohmann K. (G),
- 32:52, McKenna C. (G),
- 4th Quarter (21 - 13)
- 01:16, Mullin O. (G),
- 07:03, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
- 09:58, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 11:33, Berry J. (Behind),
- 16:05, Lohmann K. (G),
- 20:15, O’Sullivan C. (Behind),
- 21:38, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 25:00, Dempsey O. (G),
- 30:49, Fort D. (G),
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
64.1% | Draw
1.6% | Brisbane Lions
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Geelong Cats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.36) |
78.67
|
2.68 ↓
(3.2) |
9.1%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 171.5 Points, OT - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:76.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1634:1402. (average 81.7:70.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 797:706. (average 88.6:78.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Brisbane Lions?
Geelong Cats has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Geelong Cats?
Brisbane Lions has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
14.05.2026
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
76:117
27.09.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
75:122
05.09.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
112:74
20.06.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
51:92
29.03.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
70:61
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Fremantle Dockers (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (4) | 40 : 72 |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (6) | Western Bulldogs (8) | 90 : 68 |
| 5 | Sydney Swans (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 141 : 88 |
| 8 | Geelong Cats (5) | Carlton Blues (10) | 107 : 74 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hawthorn Hawks (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Adelaide Crows (6) | 144 : 91 |
| 3 | Sydney Swans (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (1) | Geelong Cats (5) | 120 : 106 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hawthorn Hawks (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Sydney Swans (2) | Fremantle Dockers (1) | |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
