Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
56:91
09/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 9
Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
713
Behinds
1413
Kicks
215203
Handballs
145166
Disposals
360369
Frees For
2222
Frees Against
2222
Clearances Completed
3925
Marks
9798
Tackles
5943
Hitouts
4127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (15 - 21)
  • 00:53, Spargo C. (Behind),
  • 01:59, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 03:55, Meek L. (G),
  • 05:23, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 06:39, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 08:06, Langford H. (G),
  • 12:11, Breust L. (G),
  • 17:17, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:45, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 26:02, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 29:02, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (19 - 14)
  • 01:53, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 03:19, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 04:22, Sharp H. (Behind),
  • 08:18, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 10:04, Windsor C. (Behind),
  • 11:43, Moore D. (G),
  • 16:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 18:14, Spargo C. (Behind),
  • 21:55, Pickett K. (G),
  • 23:49, Watson N. (G),
  • 25:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 28:45, Langford H. (G),
  • 30:25, Langdon E. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (15 - 15)
  • 01:52, Sicily J. (Behind),
  • 04:37, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 05:30, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 09:15, Ward J. (G),
  • 13:00, Langford H. (G),
  • 16:25, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 17:17, Sharp H. (G),
  • 19:05, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 22:58, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 24:19, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (7 - 41)
  • 02:44, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 04:38, Gunston J. (G),
  • 07:15, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:36, Chol M. (G),
  • 14:10, Pickett K. (G),
  • 15:55, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 17:46, Chol M. (G),
  • 24:43, Gunston J. (G),
  • 25:58, Weddle J. (G),
  • 27:22, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 29:12, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 32', (Behind),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
24.7%
Hawthorn Hawks
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (3.44)

    1.24
    (1.31)
    7.7%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks?
    The most likely score is 73:97. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1388:1388. (average 77.1:77.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 585:612. (average 73.1:76.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93
    20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60
    13.05.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 49:103
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies10802910:703129.4532
    2Brisbane Lions10712882:802109.9830
    3Gold Coast Suns9702933:707131.9728
    4Hawthorn Hawks10703953:770123.7728
    5Western Bulldogs106041038:783132.5724
    6Adelaide Crows10604986:791124.6524
    7Geelong Cats10604971:787123.3824
    8GWS Giants10505841:783107.4120
    9Fremantle Dockers10505838:837100.1220
    10Essendon Bombers9504668:82381.1720
    11Carlton Blues10406807:755106.8916
    12Sydney Swans10406805:81698.6516
    13St Kilda Saints10406841:92491.0216
    14Melbourne Demons10406758:91882.5716
    15Port Adelaide Power10406784:95682.0116
    16Richmond Tigers10307682:98869.0312
    17North Melbourne10217811:101180.2210
    18West Coast Eagles10109705:105966.574

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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