Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/07/2026 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

University of Tasmania Stadium (Launceston).

: AFL - Round 17

Match Stats


Goals
14	19
Behinds
6	11
Kicks
215	204
Handballs
128	142
Disposals
343	346
Frees for
20	23
Frees against
23	20
Clearances completed
30	46
Marks
111	86
Tackles
44	64
Hitouts
42	35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 47)
02:59, Fritsch B. (G),
04:17, Langdon E. (G),
05:33, Hill M. (Behind),
07:54, Windsor C. (Behind),
09:07, Petty H. (Behind),
10:20, Petty H. (G),
13:24, (Behind Rushed),
14:28, Jefferson M. (G),
16:42, Laurie B. (Behind),
19:17, Langdon E. (Behind),
20:40, Ward J. (G),
23:20, Jefferson M. (Behind),
24:57, Laurie B. (G),
26:55, Pickett K. (G),
29:23, Sharp H. (G),
2nd Quarter (1 - 39)
00:46, (Behind Rushed),
07:28, Fritsch B. (G),
09:34, Petty H. (G),
15:30, Jefferson M. (Behind),
16:55, Van Rooyen J. (G),
20:12, McCabe W. (Behind),
22:55, Langdon E. (Behind),
25:47, Fritsch B. (G),
28:45, Van Rooyen J. (G),
30:17, Fritsch B. (G),
3rd Quarter (26 - 27)
01:13, Ginnivan J. (G),
02:23, Pickett K. (Behind),
03:29, Sharp H. (G),
08:45, Van Rooyen J. (G),
10:23, Van Rooyen J. (G),
13:10, Pickett L. (G),
14:43, Dalton J. (G),
18:08, Fitzgerald J. (Behind),
19:24, (Behind Rushed),
20:49, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
23:19, (Behind Rushed),
25:11, Chol M. (G),
29:04, Chol M. (G),
4th Quarter (55 - 12)
00:27, Ward J. (G),
02:49, Ginnivan J. (G),
05:12, Chol M. (G),
06:41, Chol M. (G),
09:54, Lewis M. (G),
13:58, Gunston J. (G),
17:10, Macdonald C. (G),
21:37, Day W. (G),
26:59, Chol M. (G),
28:11, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
30:01, Fritsch B. (G),
31:35, Van Rooyen J. (G),

Chances of winning

Hawthorn Hawks
65.6%

Draw
1.5%

Melbourne Demons
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawthorn Hawks's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.

Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.25)	95	2.78 ↓ (4)	8% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
Hawthorn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hawthorn could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1652:1620. (average 82.6:81).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 868:859. (average 78.9:78.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Melbourne Demons?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Melbourne Demons has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons were as follows:

16.05.2026 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 120:81

16.08.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 92:56

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91

23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93

20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

26.06.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants 96:82 ✺

19.06.2026 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 97:113 ✺

05.06.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 71:77 ✺

28.05.2026 St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks 67:119 ✺

21.05.2026 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 75:66 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

19.06.2026 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 79:62 ✺

12.06.2026 Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers 95:50 ✺

08.06.2026 Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons 75:83 ✺

31.05.2026 Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants 70:119 ✺

24.05.2026 Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons 93:90 ✺

AFL Table

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Fremantle Dockers	22	19	0	3	2204:1547	142.47	76
2	Sydney Swans	22	17	0	5	2420:1799	134.52	68
3	Brisbane Lions	22	15	0	7	2340:1958	119.51	60
4	Hawthorn Hawks	22	14	2	6	2153:1836	117.27	60
5	Melbourne Demons	22	15	0	7	2214:1991	111.20	60
6	Geelong Cats	22	14	0	8	2222:1849	120.17	56
7	Adelaide Crows	22	14	0	8	2012:1748	115.10	56
8	Collingwood Magpies	22	12	2	8	1925:1815	106.06	52
9	Western Bulldogs	22	12	1	9	1793:1905	94.12	50
10	Carlton Blues	22	11	1	10	1888:1896	99.58	46
11	St Kilda Saints	22	10	0	12	1950:1871	104.22	40
12	GWS Giants	22	10	0	12	1972:1938	101.75	40
13	North Melbourne	22	9	0	13	1862:2052	90.74	36
14	Gold Coast Suns	22	8	0	14	1908:2048	93.16	32
15	Port Adelaide Power	22	6	0	16	1699:1953	86.99	24
16	West Coast Eagles	22	4	0	18	1570:2226	70.53	16
17	Richmond Tigers	22	3	0	19	1407:2240	62.81	12
18	Essendon Bombers	22	2	0	20	1506:2373	63.46	8

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus