Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows
Result
75:66
21/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
109
Behinds
1512
Kicks
196211
Handballs
135173
Disposals
331384
Frees for
2324
Frees against
2423
Clearances completed
4633
Marks
6067
Tackles
7881
Hitouts
5529

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (14 - 26)
  • 00:16, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 04:13, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 05:43, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 09:12, Rankine I. (G),
  • 10:39, Dawson J. (G),
  • 15:11, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 18:38, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 20:39, Rachele J. (G),
  • 23:34, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 29:06, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (33 - 8)
  • 02:27, McAndrew L. (G),
  • 05:25, Watson N. (G),
  • 08:32, Meek L. (G),
  • 14:18, Lewis M. (G),
  • 18:46, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 20:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:21, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 22:33, Nash C. (Behind),
  • 24:05, Watson N. (G),
  • 28:06, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 30:13, Moore D. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (16 - 9)
  • 01:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:49, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
  • 03:31, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:48, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 10:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:36, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 23:08, Chol M. (G),
  • 24:53, Taylor Z. (G),
  • 28:37, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (12 - 23)
  • 03:58, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 05:27, Soligo J. (G),
  • 06:43, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 09:42, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 10:15, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 11:00, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:57, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
  • 20:29, Reeves N. (Behind),
  • 21:34, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 23:04, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 26:04, Berry S. (Behind),
  • 27:49, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 29:10, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 30:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 31:45, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Hawthorn Hawks
60.7%
Adelaide Crows
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.6% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawthorn Hawks's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
  • Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.28)

    2.35
    (3.75)
    9.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 4.
    • Hawthorn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Adelaide is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hawthorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1872:1566. (average 93.6:78.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 987:846. (average 89.7:76.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 67:101
    01.08.2025 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 101:87
    13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44
    28.07.2024 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 58:124
    31.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 107:80
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Fremantle Dockers (1)Hawthorn Hawks (4)40 : 72
    4Adelaide Crows (6)Western Bulldogs (8)90 : 68
    5Sydney Swans (2)Brisbane Lions (3)141 : 88
    8Geelong Cats (5)Carlton Blues (10)107 : 74

    Quarter-finals
    1Hawthorn Hawks (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Adelaide Crows (6)144 : 91
    3Sydney Swans (2)Bye
    4Fremantle Dockers (1)Geelong Cats (5)120 : 106

    Semi-finals
    1Hawthorn Hawks (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Sydney Swans (2)Fremantle Dockers (1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
    usaUsaFOX Sports 2
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