Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons
Result
93:90
24/05/2026 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1413
Behinds
912
Kicks
208195
Handballs
155135
Disposals
363330
Frees for
2317
Frees against
1723
Clearances completed
4536
Marks
7777
Tackles
6072
Hitouts
2451

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 9)
  • 03:47, Petty H. (Behind),
  • 08:00, West R. (G),
  • 10:58, Richards E. (G),
  • 14:28, Lewis W. (G),
  • 15:51, Laurie B. (G),
  • 18:44, Treloar A. (Behind),
  • 26:39, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:26, Langford H. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (32 - 34)
  • 02:18, Bontempelli M. (G),
  • 04:26, Jefferson M. (Behind),
  • 05:47, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 06:53, Tholstrup K. (G),
  • 09:01, Bontempelli M. (G),
  • 10:49, Jones A. (G),
  • 13:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:33, Jones A. (G),
  • 16:28, Richards E. (G),
  • 18:45, Petty H. (G),
  • 22:02, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 26:39, (Behind Rushed),
  • 28:03, Bowey J. (Behind),
  • 31:05, Gawn M. (G),
  • 32:20, Langford H. (G),
  • 34:09, Rivers T. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (27 - 33)
  • 02:24, Croft J. (G),
  • 03:32, Jones A. (Behind),
  • 04:24, Langford H. (G),
  • 05:55, Naughton A. (G),
  • 08:28, West R. (G),
  • 10:42, Jefferson M. (Behind),
  • 11:54, Lewis W. (Behind),
  • 13:01, Turner D. (G),
  • 14:06, Sharp H. (G),
  • 23:54, Laurie B. (Behind),
  • 24:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:05, Chandler K. (G),
  • 28:26, Sanders R. (Behind),
  • 30:00, Naughton A. (G),
  • 31:10, Cross P. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (15 - 14)
  • 04:17, Sharp H. (G),
  • 06:25, Dale B. (Behind),
  • 07:10, Langdon E. (Behind),
  • 08:10, Richards E. (G),
  • 10:59, Jones A. (Behind),
  • 13:39, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 21:53, Langdon E. (G),
  • 24:44, Freijah J. (G),
  • 27:20, Naughton A. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Western Bulldogs
46.4%
Melbourne Demons
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Bulldogs's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-22.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.44)

    1.72
    (2.8)
    8.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 188.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons?
    • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:96.
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
    • Western is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1648:1792. (average 82.4:89.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 945:863. (average 85.9:78.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 99:105
    02.08.2024 Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons 110:59
    16.03.2024 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 109:64
    18.03.2023 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 115:65
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Fremantle Dockers2018021983:1346147.3372
    2Sydney Swans2015052141:1653129.5260
    3Hawthorn Hawks2014152003:1619123.7258
    4Adelaide Crows2013071861:1582117.6452
    5Brisbane Lions2013072120:1847114.7852
    6Melbourne Demons2013071969:1826107.8352
    7Geelong Cats2012081980:1689117.2348
    8Western Bulldogs2112091711:182393.8648
    9Collingwood Magpies2011181716:1625105.6046
    10Carlton Blues20100101700:175297.0340
    11St Kilda Saints2090111794:1720104.3036
    12GWS Giants2090111784:180299.0036
    13North Melbourne2190121752:192790.9236
    14Gold Coast Suns2070131776:187694.6728
    15Port Adelaide Power2060141573:165495.1024
    16West Coast Eagles2040161415:199870.8216
    17Richmond Tigers2030171308:208362.7912
    18Essendon Bombers2020181380:214464.378

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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