Result
39:103
11/07/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 214 | 240 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 132 | 165 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 346 | 405 |
| Frees for |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Frees against |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Clearances completed |
|---|
| 34 | 45 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 98 | 78 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 22 | 53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (12 - 14)
- 02:37, McGovern M. (G),
- 03:52, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 16:45, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 23:07, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
- 24:39, Moore D. (Behind),
- 29:00, Riley F. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (1 - 19)
- 08:29, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 14:17, Gunston J. (G),
- 17:43, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:48, Morrison H. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 34)
- 02:15, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 03:25, Moore D. (G),
- 05:37, Cerra A. (Behind),
- 07:25, McGovern M. (G),
- 09:54, Gunston J. (G),
- 17:44, Cerra A. (G),
- 19:56, Ison J. (Behind),
- 21:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:18, Ward J. (G),
- 24:54, Chol M. (Behind),
- 27:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:59, Chol M. (G),
- 30:48, Lewis M. (G),
- 4th Quarter (12 - 36)
- 00:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 01:44, Day W. (G),
- 02:57, Chol M. (Behind),
- 05:54, Moore D. (G),
- 10:15, Gunston J. (G),
- 11:34, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 13:40, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 19:45, Hill M. (G),
- 21:32, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 23:26, Chol M. (Behind),
- 24:31, Hill M. (G),
- 27:25, Byrne T. (G),
- 31:09, Gunston J. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Carlton Blues
38% | Hawthorn Hawks
62% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.6) |
|
1.54 ↑
(1.5) |
7.1%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 146.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)
What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks?
- Users Predictions:
Hawthorn Hawks will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:79.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 2.
- Carlton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Hawthorn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hawthorn might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 2.48.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1163:1571. (average 64.6:87.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 657:1004. (average 59.7:91.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Carlton Blues?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
24.07.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Carlton Blues
85:61
20.03.2025
Carlton Blues
-
Hawthorn Hawks
60:80
10.08.2024
Carlton Blues
-
Hawthorn Hawks
38:112
01.07.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Carlton Blues
52:112
Latest results of Carlton Blues
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Fremantle Dockers | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1690:1188 | 142.26 | 60 |
| 2 | Sydney Swans | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1824:1390 | 131.22 | 52 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1650:1445 | 114.19 | 46 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1823:1557 | 117.08 | 44 |
| 5 | Adelaide Crows | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1555:1330 | 116.92 | 44 |
| 6 | Melbourne Demons | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1666:1528 | 109.03 | 44 |
| 7 | Geelong Cats | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1766:1520 | 116.18 | 40 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 1411:1529 | 92.28 | 40 |
| 9 | Collingwood Magpies | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1446:1385 | 104.40 | 38 |
| 10 | St Kilda Saints | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 1613:1551 | 104.00 | 32 |
| 11 | GWS Giants | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1557:1533 | 101.57 | 32 |
| 12 | Carlton Blues | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1367:1487 | 91.93 | 32 |
| 13 | North Melbourne | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1431:1566 | 91.38 | 32 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Suns | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 1506:1575 | 95.62 | 28 |
| 15 | Port Adelaide Power | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 1368:1350 | 101.33 | 24 |
| 16 | West Coast Eagles | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 1231:1709 | 72.03 | 16 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 17 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1124:1783 | 63.04 | 8 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1201:1803 | 66.61 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
