Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies
07/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Hawthorn Hawks
44.2%
Collingwood Magpies
55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Hawthorn Hawks have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Collingwood Magpies have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawthorn Hawks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.15)

    1.73
    (1.71)
    5.4%
    (5.2%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
    • Hawthorn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Collingwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1936:1684. (average 96.8:84.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1270:998. (average 105.8:83.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56
    20.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 133:67
    07.04.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 77:72
    05.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 105:73
    02.03.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 100:106
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6GWS Giants1913061722:1454118.4352
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    9Western Bulldogs1911082033:1533132.6244
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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