Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 22

Match Stats


Goals
17	6
Behinds
8	10
Kicks
238	173
Handballs
166	158
Disposals
404	331
Frees For
20	17
Frees Against
17	20
Clearances Completed
35	30
Marks
107	78
Tackles
37	42
Hitouts
35	25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (21 - 15)
07:40, Watson N. (G),
13:58, Watson N. (G),
18:06, Mihocek B. (G),
20:34, Houston D. (Behind),
23:38, Dear C. (G),
26:35, De Goey J. (Behind),
27:20, Chol M. (Behind),
28:26, De Goey J. (G),
30:32, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
33:04, Dear C. (Behind),
36:12, Chol M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (42 - 9)
05:08, Meek L. (G),
07:06, Moore D. (G),
08:44, Mihocek B. (G),
15:08, Elliott J. (Behind),
15:38, Elliott J. (Behind),
17:38, Gunston J. (G),
20:09, Lewis M. (G),
21:57, Chol M. (G),
25:59, Chol M. (G),
28:51, Meek L. (G),
31:36, McStay D. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (26 - 9)
00:50, Lipinski P. (Behind),
04:29, Newcombe J. (G),
07:31, Gunston J. (G),
09:11, Dear C. (Behind),
13:03, Elliott J. (Behind),
14:52, Lipinski P. (G),
18:20, Battle J. (Behind),
21:12, Gunston J. (G),
24:09, Meek L. (G),
27:36, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
4th Quarter (21 - 13)
02:47, Worpel J. (G),
07:24, Breust L. (Behind),
08:32, Membrey T. (G),
10:59, Chol M. (G),
15:43, Macdonald C. (Behind),
17:31, Mihocek B. (Behind),
19:48, Gunston J. (G),
21:57, Schultz L. (G),
24:03, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Hawthorn Hawks
41.9%

Collingwood Magpies
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.15)		1.61 ↓ (1.71)	7.4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1936:1684. (average 96.8:84.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1270:998. (average 105.8:83.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Collingwood Magpies?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Collingwood Magpies has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56

20.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 133:67

07.04.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 77:72

05.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 105:73

02.03.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 100:106

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

01.08.2025 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 101:87 ✺

24.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues 85:61 ✺

18.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power 87:49 ✺

12.07.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 77:64 ✺

05.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks 74:94 ✺

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

02.08.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions 65:92 ✺

27.07.2025 Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies 57:93 ✺

20.07.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers 78:79 ✺

11.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies 69:63 ✺

04.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 59:115 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Adelaide Crows (1)	Collingwood Magpies (4)	55 : 79
3	Brisbane Lions	Bye
4	Fremantle Dockers (6)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	79 : 80
5	Geelong Cats (2)	Brisbane Lions (3)	112 : 74
7	Adelaide Crows	Bye
8	GWS Giants (5)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	88 : 107

Quarter-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Bye
2	Brisbane Lions (3)	Gold Coast Suns (7)	100 : 47
3	Geelong Cats (2)	Bye
4	Adelaide Crows (1)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)	67 : 101

Semi-finals

1	Collingwood Magpies (4)	Brisbane Lions (3)
2	Geelong Cats (2)	Hawthorn Hawks (8)

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4