Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Hawthorn Hawks
44.2%

Collingwood Magpies
55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hawthorn Hawks have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Collingwood Magpies have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawthorn Hawks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)		1.73 ↑ (1.71)	5.4% (5.2%)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
Hawthorn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Collingwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1936:1684. (average 96.8:84.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1270:998. (average 105.8:83.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Collingwood Magpies?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Collingwood Magpies has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56

20.07.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 133:67

07.04.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 77:72

05.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 105:73

02.03.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies 100:106

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

24.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues 85:61 ✺

18.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power 87:49 ✺

12.07.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks 77:64 ✺

05.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks 74:94 ✺

28.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos 150:65 ✺

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

27.07.2025 Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies 57:93 ✺

20.07.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers 78:79 ✺

11.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies 69:63 ✺

04.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 59:115 ✺

28.06.2025 Collingwood Magpies - West Coast Eagles 88:59 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
2	Adelaide Crows	19	14	0	5	1918:1314	145.97	56
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	19	13	0	6	1677:1399	119.87	52
6	GWS Giants	19	13	0	6	1722:1454	118.43	52
7	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
8	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
9	Western Bulldogs	19	11	0	8	2033:1533	132.62	44
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: