Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 6

Match Stats


Goals
12	11
Behinds
14	13
Kicks
187	198
Handballs
116	171
Disposals
303	369
Frees For
15	24
Frees Against
24	15
Clearances Completed
33	34
Marks
77	89
Tackles
62	83
Hitouts
38	51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (29 - 18)
04:05, Mannagh S. (G),
06:01, Dempsey O. (G),
07:24, Hardwick B. (Behind),
08:17, Hardwick B. (G),
09:50, Gunston J. (G),
12:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
14:28, Dangerfield P. (G),
16:12, Moore D. (Behind),
17:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
18:21, Chol M. (Behind),
19:29, (Behind Rushed),
20:04, (Behind Rushed),
22:36, (Behind Rushed),
24:29, Stanley R. (G),
26:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
28:47, (Behind Rushed),
29:34, Knevitt M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (21 - 22)
01:22, Mannagh S. (G),
03:10, Dangerfield P. (G),
04:52, Watson N. (G),
07:58, Cameron J. (G),
09:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
15:16, Neale S. (Behind),
18:09, Hardwick B. (Behind),
19:40, Stengle T. (Behind),
21:54, Gunston J. (G),
24:32, Chol M. (G),
25:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
29:00, Watson N. (Behind),
30:30, Mannagh S. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (22 - 26)
00:43, Cameron J. (G),
02:33, Chol M. (G),
04:57, Watson N. (G),
06:17, Cameron J. (Behind),
07:28, Blicavs M. (G),
08:39, (Behind Rushed),
17:52, Stanley R. (Behind),
20:03, Macdonald C. (Behind),
21:26, Gunston J. (G),
26:54, Dempsey O. (G),
28:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
32:06, Chol M. (G),
33:24, Worpel J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (14 - 13)
04:30, Dangerfield P. (G),
10:10, Sicily J. (G),
13:34, Macdonald C. (G),
16:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
20:09, Mannagh S. (Behind),
21:41, Watson N. (Behind),
26:18, Mannagh S. (G),

Chances of winning

Geelong Cats
49.2%

Hawthorn Hawks
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-4%)

Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.04)		1.82 ↑ (1.76)	7.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:88.

Preview Facts

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Geelong won 4.
Recent matches Geelong is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hawthorn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Geelong won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1753:1583 (average 87.7:79.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 966:793 (average 96.6:79.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Geelong Cats has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Geelong Cats?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

06.07.2024 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 110:59

01.04.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Geelong Cats 70:106

10.04.2023 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 127:45

Latest results of Geelong Cats

10.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats 100:119 ✺

04.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons 85:46 ✺

29.03.2025 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 70:61 ✺

22.03.2025 St Kilda Saints - Geelong Cats 98:91 ✺

14.03.2025 Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers 147:69 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

13.04.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks 121:91 ✺

29.03.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants 76:64 ✺

20.03.2025 Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks 60:80 ✺

14.03.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers 111:85 ✺

07.03.2025 Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks 76:96 ✺

AFL Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Brisbane Lions	23	16	1	6	2061:1804	114.25	66
4	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
5	GWS Giants	23	16	0	7	2114:1834	115.27	64
6	Fremantle Dockers	23	16	0	7	1978:1815	108.98	64
7	Gold Coast Suns	23	15	0	8	2173:1740	124.89	60
8	Hawthorn Hawks	23	15	0	8	2045:1691	120.93	60
9	Western Bulldogs	23	14	0	9	2493:1820	136.98	56
10	Sydney Swans	23	12	0	11	1845:1902	97.00	48
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	23	9	0	14	1839:2077	88.54	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	23	6	0	17	1535:2209	69.49	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	23	1	0	22	1466:2438	60.13	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1