Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
86:79
21/04/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 6
Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1211
Behinds
1413
Kicks
187198
Handballs
116171
Disposals
303369
Frees For
1524
Frees Against
2415
Clearances Completed
3334
Marks
7789
Tackles
6283
Hitouts
3851

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 18)
  • 04:05, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 06:01, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 07:24, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 08:17, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 09:50, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 14:28, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 16:12, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 17:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 18:21, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 19:29, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:29, Stanley R. (G),
  • 26:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 28:47, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:34, Knevitt M. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 22)
  • 01:22, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 03:10, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 04:52, Watson N. (G),
  • 07:58, Cameron J. (G),
  • 09:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 15:16, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 18:09, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 19:40, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 21:54, Gunston J. (G),
  • 24:32, Chol M. (G),
  • 25:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 29:00, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 30:30, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 26)
  • 00:43, Cameron J. (G),
  • 02:33, Chol M. (G),
  • 04:57, Watson N. (G),
  • 06:17, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 07:28, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 08:39, (Behind Rushed),
  • 17:52, Stanley R. (Behind),
  • 20:03, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 21:26, Gunston J. (G),
  • 26:54, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 28:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 32:06, Chol M. (G),
  • 33:24, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 13)
  • 04:30, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 10:10, Sicily J. (G),
  • 13:34, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 20:09, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 21:41, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Mannagh S. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
49.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.04)

    1.82
    (1.76)
    7.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 174.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:88.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Geelong won 4.
    • Recent matches Geelong is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hawthorn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Geelong won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1753:1583 (average 87.7:79.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 966:793 (average 96.6:79.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    06.07.2024 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 110:59
    01.04.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Geelong Cats 70:106
    10.04.2023 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 127:45
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    7GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    8Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    9Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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