Arsenal vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 5
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	0.69
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
80% (275/344)	87% (462/534)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
3.48	0.47
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
1	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
13	16
Passes
80% (275/344)	87% (462/534)
Long passes
43% (20/47)	44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
55% (57/104)	74% (68/92)
Crosses
47% (7/15)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.32	0.49
Throw-ins
16	16
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
88% (7/8)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
34	49
Clearances
10	17
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.47	3.48
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Timber J. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
23', Upamecano D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Karl L. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
38', Trossard L. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
43', Laimer K. 🟨,
43', Arteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Kompany V. 🟨,
68', Saka B. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
68', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Madueke N. ⚽, Calafiori R. (A),
72', Laimer K. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
72', Gnabry S. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
74', Saliba W. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Martinelli G. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
80', Merino M. 🟨,
80', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
80', Eze E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
81', Kimmich J. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
81', Karl L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
81', Upamecano D. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,

Chances of winning

Arsenal
47.5%

Draw
26.1%

Bayern Munich
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Arsenal - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)	3.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Arsenal - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 46 - 58.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 20 - 25.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 47.3% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Arsenal (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Bayern (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 29.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arsenal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Gyökeres V. (Hamstring Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Diaz L. (Red Card) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Bayern Munich?

Arsenal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Arsenal?

Bayern Munich has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Bayern Munich were as follows:

17.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Arsenal 1:0

09.04.2024 Arsenal - Bayern Munich 2:2

Latest results of Arsenal

23.11.2025 Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur 4:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Sunderland - Arsenal 2:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Slavia Prague - Arsenal 0:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Burnley - Arsenal 0:2 ✺

29.10.2025 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

22.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 6:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:4 ✺

Draw

1/8-finals

1	Borac Banja Luka	Levski Sofia	0 : 4, 1 : 1
2	ML Vitebsk	Univ. Craiova	0 : 1, 1 : 4
3	Omonia	Bye
4	Kairat Almaty	Sutjeska	2 : 0, 2 : 1
8	Bye	AEK Athens
9	Celtic	Bye
16	Bye	LASK
17	Thun	Bye
18	Bye	Din. Zagreb
19	Klaksvik	Bissen	2 : 1, 2 : 1
20	Kauno Zalgiris	Drita	3 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Bye	Viking
25	Mjallby	Bye
26	Lincoln Red Imps	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 3 : 1
27	Flora	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 2 : 3
28	Bye	Slovan Bratislava
29	Ararat-Armenia	Riga FC	2 : 3, 2 : 0
30	Floriana	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 5, 2 : 0
31	Petrocub	Egnatia	1 : 6, 1 : 1
32	Bye	Celje
33	Vikingur Reykjavik	Gyor	2 : 2, 1 : 0
34	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
35	Tre Fiori	Larne	1 : 2, 0 : 1
36	Bye	Crvena zvezda
37	Aarhus	Bye
38	Bye	Lech Poznan
39	Sabah Baku	TNS	2 : 1, 2 : 0
40	Vardar	KuPS	3 : 2, 0 : 2
41	Fenerbahce	Bye
42	Bye	Gornik Zabrze
43	Sturm Graz	Bye
44	Bye	Hearts
45	Sparta Prague	Bye
48	Bye	Lyon
49	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
52	Bye	Nijmegen
53	Royale Union SG	Bye
56	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Quarter-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Univ. Craiova	2 : 2, 1 : 0
2	Omonia	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	AEK Athens
5	Celtic	Bye
8	Bye	LASK
9	Thun	Din. Zagreb	2 : 3, 1 : 1
10	Klaksvik	Kauno Zalgiris	0 : 1, 0 : 0
12	Bye	Viking
13	Mjallby	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 0, 3 : 0
14	Iberia 1999	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 0 : 2
15	Ararat-Armenia	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 2, 2 : 0
16	Egnatia	Celje	2 : 3, 3 : 3
17	Vikingur Reykjavik	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 2, 2 : 1
18	Larne	Crvena zvezda	0 : 5, 0 : 4
19	Aarhus	Lech Poznan	5 : 1, 1 : 4
20	Sabah Baku	KuPS	2 : 0, 1 : 0
21	Fenerbahce	Gornik Zabrze	1 : 1, 1 : 0
22	Sturm Graz	Hearts	2 : 0, 4 : 0
23	Sparta Prague	Bye
24	Bye	Lyon
25	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
26	Bye	Nijmegen
27	Royale Union SG	Bye
28	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Semi-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Kairat Almaty	1 : 0, 1 : 0
2	Bye	AEK Athens
3	Celtic	Bye
4	Bye	LASK
5	Din. Zagreb	Kauno Zalgiris	2 : 1, 5 : 0
6	Bye	Viking
7	Mjallby	Slovan Bratislava	0 : 2, 1 : 2
8	Ararat-Armenia	Celje	0 : 2, 2 : 1
9	H. Beer Sheva	Crvena zvezda	2 : 0, 1 : 0
10	Aarhus	Sabah Baku	0 : 4, 2 : 1
11	Fenerbahce	Sturm Graz	1 : 0, 2 : 0
12	Sparta Prague	Lyon	0 : 3, 2 : 1
13	Olympiacos Piraeus	Nijmegen	1 : 2, 0 : 0
14	Royale Union SG	Bodo/Glimt	2 : 3, 3 : 3

Final

1	Levski Sofia	AEK Athens
2	Celtic	LASK
3	Din. Zagreb	Viking
4	Slovan Bratislava	Celje
5	H. Beer Sheva	Sabah Baku
6	Fenerbahce	Lyon
7	Nijmegen	Bodo/Glimt

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Bayern Munich?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Fiji	Sky Pacific
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max, TV8
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Moldova	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360