Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League
Result
0:1
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.800.43
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
43
Passes
82% (382/465)71% (227/321)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
0.800.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.14
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1214
Passes
82% (382/465)71% (227/321)
Long passes
48% (25/52)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
71% (101/143)45% (41/92)
Crosses
14% (4/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.29
Throw ins
2324
Fouls
1412
Tackles
70% (16/23)33% (5/15)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
2950
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.140.65
Goals prevented
-0.860.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Saka B. ⚽, Timber J. (A),
  • 11', Mosquera C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mitoma K. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
  • 52', Gomez D. 🟨,
  • 59', Gyökeres V. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
  • 60', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 64', Mosquera C. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 69', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
  • 77', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
  • 78', Baleba C. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
  • 78', Gomez D. ↓, Howell H. ↑,
  • 80', Zubimendi M. ↓, Norgaard C. ↑,
  • 80', Boscagli O. 🟨,
  • 82', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ayari Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
18.5%		Draw
24.5%		Arsenal
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 24.1% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 23.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
    •

    Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.16 ↑
    (5.09)    		 3.91 ↓
    (3.95)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.66)    		 4.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DC - Brighton & Hove (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +0.5 - Brighton & Hove (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (58 of 73 users predict this - 79.45%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 70.18% – 88.72%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Arsenal (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 0.
    • Brighton & Hove has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    29.10.2025 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0
    04.01.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 1:1
    31.08.2024 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    06.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 0:3
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    01.03.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:0 ✺
    11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal 1:4 ✺
    18.02.2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal 2:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Arsenal - Wigan Athletic 4:0 ✺
    12.02.2026 Brentford - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal38267571:274485
    2Manchester City38239677:354278
    3Manchester Utd382011769:501971
    4Aston Villa381981156:49765
    5Liverpool381791263:531060
    6Bournemouth381318758:54457
    7Sunderland3814121242:48-654
    8Brighton3814111352:46653
    9Brentford3814111355:52353
    10Chelsea3814101458:52652
    11Fulham381571647:51-452
    12Newcastle381471753:55-249
    13Everton3813101547:50-349
    14Leeds3811141349:56-747
    15Crystal Palace3811121541:51-1045
    16Nottingham3811111648:51-344
    17Tottenham3810111748:57-941
    18West Ham381091946:65-1939
    19Burnley384102438:75-3722
    20Wolves383112427:68-4120

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
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    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
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