Bayern Munich vs Köln: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
5:1
16/05/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
Bayern Munich - Köln - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.720.90
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
55
Passes
91% (659/724)82% (267/327)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.720.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.53
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
81
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
4823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free kicks
46
Passes
91% (659/724)82% (267/327)
Long passes
75% (27/36)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
84% (221/263)66% (55/83)
Crosses
33% (5/15)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.690.32
Throw ins
228
Fouls
64
Tackles
71% (15/21)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.532.58
Goals prevented
-0.47-2.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kane H. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, Kane H. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, El Mala S. ,
  • 22', 3 - 1, Bischof T. , Karl L. (A),
  • 34', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 37', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laimer K. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 46', Schmied J. , Maina L. ,
  • 60', Neuer M. , Urbig J. ,
  • 61', Karl L. , Olise M. ,
  • 69', Castro-Montes A. , Johannesson I. ,
  • 69', 4 - 1, Kane H. , Goretzka L. (A),
  • 70', Musiala J. , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 80', El Mala S. , Thielmann J. ,
  • 80', Bulter M. , Niang Y. ,
  • 83', Goretzka L. , Jackson N. ,
  • 83', 5 - 1, Jackson N. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 90+2', Kaminski J. , Kainz F. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
83.1%
Draw
9.9%
Köln
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.2% 15.4% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Bayern Munich - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.15
    (1.28)
    9.78
    (6.15)
    13.95
    (9.19)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Köln?
    • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Köln will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 63.4%93.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5 - Köln (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • Bayern is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Davies A. (Hamstring Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Krauss T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:15. (average 2.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Köln were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3
    29.10.2025 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:4
    13.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Köln 2:0
    24.11.2023 Köln - Bayern Munich 0:1
    27.05.2023 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Köln
    10.05.2026 Köln - Heidenheim 1:3
    02.05.2026 Union Berlin - Köln 2:2
    25.04.2026 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    17.04.2026 St. Pauli - Köln 1:1
    12.04.2026 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1WolfsburgPaderborn1 : 2, 0 : 0
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