Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
86:79
21/04/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 6
Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1211
Behinds
1413
Kicks
187198
Handballs
116171
Disposals
303369
Frees For
1524
Frees Against
2415
Clearances Completed
3334
Marks
7789
Tackles
6283
Hitouts
3851

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 18)
  • 04:05, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 06:01, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 07:24, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 08:17, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 09:50, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 14:28, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 16:12, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 17:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 18:21, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 19:29, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:29, Stanley R. (G),
  • 26:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 28:47, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:34, Knevitt M. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 22)
  • 01:22, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 03:10, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 04:52, Watson N. (G),
  • 07:58, Cameron J. (G),
  • 09:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 15:16, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 18:09, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 19:40, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 21:54, Gunston J. (G),
  • 24:32, Chol M. (G),
  • 25:52, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 29:00, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 30:30, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 26)
  • 00:43, Cameron J. (G),
  • 02:33, Chol M. (G),
  • 04:57, Watson N. (G),
  • 06:17, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 07:28, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 08:39, (Behind Rushed),
  • 17:52, Stanley R. (Behind),
  • 20:03, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 21:26, Gunston J. (G),
  • 26:54, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 28:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 32:06, Chol M. (G),
  • 33:24, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 13)
  • 04:30, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 10:10, Sicily J. (G),
  • 13:34, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:08, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 20:09, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 21:41, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Mannagh S. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
49.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.04)

    1.82
    (1.76)
    7.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 174.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?
    The most likely score is 86:88. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Geelong won 4.
    • Recent matches Geelong is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hawthorn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Geelong won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1753:1583 (average 87.7:79.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 966:793 (average 96.6:79.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    06.07.2024 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 110:59
    01.04.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Geelong Cats 70:106
    10.04.2023 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 127:45
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1210021125:822136.8640
    2Brisbane Lions139131128:1002112.5738
    3Adelaide Crows139041313:957137.2036
    4Geelong Cats139041275:1010126.2436
    5Gold Coast Suns128041114:904123.2332
    6Hawthorn Hawks138051150:1029111.7632
    7GWS Giants137061081:1008107.2428
    8Fremantle Dockers127051013:952106.4128
    9Western Bulldogs126061210:991122.1024
    10Essendon Bombers11605821:97184.5524
    11St Kilda Saints12507993:106793.0620
    12Sydney Swans135081004:111490.1320
    13Melbourne Demons12507952:108787.5820
    14Port Adelaide Power12507901:110681.4620
    15Carlton Blues11407889:865102.7716
    16Richmond Tigers133010853:122969.4112
    17North Melbourne11218874:111978.1110
    18West Coast Eagles121011840:130364.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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