Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 20
- Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (351/446) | 62% (178/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (351/446) | 62% (178/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 36% (28/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (56/89) | 51% (61/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 21', Nsoki S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', 2 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Leite D. (Own goal),
- 54', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
- 54', Nsoki S. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
- 54', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
- 58', Ilic A. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽,
- 75', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
- 78', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 83', Kramaric A. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 83', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
- 85', Prass A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Toure B. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
52% | Draw
25.8% | Union Berlin
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84
(1.84) |
3.69 ↓
(3.79) |
4.31 ↑
(4.11) |
4.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Union Berlin?
- Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6% – 90.4%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 60%) .
- AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
- Hoffenheim is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Union Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Burger W.
(Red Card)
Campbell C.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J.
(Injury)
Rothe T.
(Injury)
Skov R.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Union Berlin?
Hoffenheim has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Hoffenheim?
Union Berlin has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Union Berlin were as follows:
13.09.2025
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
2:4
08.02.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:4
21.09.2024
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
17.02.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:1
23.09.2023
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
0:2
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 82:19 | 63 | 57 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 47:20 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:28 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 39 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 22 |
| 14 | Mainz | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:37 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 19 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20:39 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Union Berlin?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
