Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (442/536) | 62% (161/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (442/536) | 62% (161/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 20% (10/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (124/172) | 45% (42/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Prass A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 61', Asllani F. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
- 64', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
- 64', Lindstrom J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
- 69', Vini Souza 🟨,
- 79', Avdullahu L. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 80', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 85', Eriksen C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
- 90+8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
67.5% | Draw
18.8% | Wolfsburg
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.52) |
5.11 ↑
(4.73) |
6.87 ↑
(5.43) |
4.3%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg?
- Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.5% – 89.1%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.61) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Wolfsburg (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
- In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton
(Ankle Injury)
Dardai B.
(Knee Injury)
Fischer K.
(Thigh Injury)
Muller M.
(Red Card)
Paredes K.
(Muscle Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
Svanberg M.
(Injury)
Zehnter A.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Wolfsburg?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Hoffenheim?
Wolfsburg has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg were as follows:
02.11.2025
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:3
09.05.2025
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:2
11.01.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Wolfsburg
0:1
04.12.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
3:0
04.02.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:2
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 93:25 | 68 | 67 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 55:26 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 54:34 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 50 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49:49 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 31 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Mainz | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 35:44 | -9 | 25 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:56 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24:58 | -34 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
