Freiburg vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Hoffenheim
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
Freiburg - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.59
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Long passes
41% (26/63)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
44% (35/80)54% (45/84)
Crosses
12% (2/17)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.13
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
915
Tackles
62% (8/13)36% (4/11)
Duels won
6254
Clearances
3539
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.591.00
Goals prevented
1.590.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Kubler L. , Adamu J. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Asllani F. , Coufal V. (A),
  • 38', Kubler L. , Treu P. ,
  • 45+6', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 59', Prass A. , Damar M. ,
  • 60', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 64', Adamu J. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 64', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 73', Kramaric A. , Lemperle T. ,
  • 73', Avdullahu L. , Promel G. ,
  • 80', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 84', Beste J. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 84', Dinkci E. , Holer L. ,
  • 85', Burger W. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 85', Asllani F. , Bebou I. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
45%
Draw
27.2%
Hoffenheim
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.1% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 26.6% 30.5%

Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.23)
3.67
(3.65)
3.68
(3.07)
0.6%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Manzambi J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich1091035:62928
    2RB Leipzig1071220:13722
    3Dortmund1063116:7921
    4Stuttgart1070317:12521
    5Bayer Leverkusen1062224:141020
    6Hoffenheim1061321:16519
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1052323:19417
    8Werder Bremen1043315:18-315
    9FC Koln1042417:15214
    10Freiburg1034313:14-113
    11Union Berlin1033413:17-412
    12B. Monchengladbach1023513:19-69
    13Hamburger SV102359:16-79
    14Wolfsburg1022612:18-68
    15Augsburg1021714:24-107
    16St. Pauli102179:20-117
    17Mainz1012710:18-85
    18Heidenheim101278:23-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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