Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 16
- Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Union Berlin - Mainz live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (349/475) | 65% (247/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (349/475) | 65% (247/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (24/73) | 29% (24/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (89/155) | 44% (43/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Leite D. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', Doekhi D. 🟨,
- 65', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
- 65', Burcu L. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Hollerbach B. ⚽, Veratschnig N. (A),
- 71', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
- 71', Burke O. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Jeong Woo-Yeong ⚽, Kohn D. (A),
- 78', Leite D. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
- 78', Amiri N. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
- 78', Hollerbach B. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 85', Tietz P. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Doekhi D. ⚽, Kohn D. (A),
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
43.2% | Draw
29.9% | Mainz
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Union Berlin - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.13) |
3.18 ↓
(3.28) |
3.55 ↓
(3.59) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Mainz?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- DNB - Union Berlin (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Mainz (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Union Berlin (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Union Berlin will win
(42 of 52 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.06% – 91.48%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Mainz (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Union Berlin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D.
(Knock)
Rothe T.
(Injury)
Skarke T.
(Injury)
Skov R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Leitsch M.
(Muscle Injury)
Mwene P.
(Muscle Injury)
Silas
(Ankle Injury)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Hanche-Olsen A.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Mainz?
Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Union Berlin?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Mainz were as follows:
19.01.2025
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
2:1
24.08.2024
Mainz
-
Union Berlin
1:1
07.02.2024
Mainz
-
Union Berlin
1:1
20.08.2023
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
4:1
04.02.2023
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
2:1
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 71:14 | 57 | 50 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 35:17 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:21 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 33 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38:39 | -1 | 27 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:27 | -3 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:38 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 18 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:34 | -13 | 18 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 13 |
| 18 | Mainz | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Union Berlin - Mainz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
