Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
1:1
22/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.78
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
73% (194/266)93% (782/842)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.70
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2032
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/2)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
95
Passes
73% (194/266)93% (782/842)
Long passes
44% (14/32)69% (27/39)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)88% (259/295)
Crosses
7% (1/15)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.58
Fouls
59
Tackles
61% (11/18)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4044
Clearances Total
1823
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.700.65
Goals prevented
0.70-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Vitinha , Lee Kang-In (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Mendes N. , Pacho W. ,
  • 62', Zaire-Emery W. , Barcola B. ,
  • 63', Dembele O. , Doue D. ,
  • 63', Lee Kang-In , Ramos G. ,
  • 71', Kvaratskhelia K. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 73', Pallois N. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 77', Castelletto J. 🟨,
  • 79', Chirivella P. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Douglas Augusto ,
  • 86', Chirivella P. , Kadewere T. ,
  • 86', Abline M. , Centonze F. ,

Chances of winning


Nantes
14%
Draw
18.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 16.4% 72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5% 16.3% 72.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.91
    (8.2)
    5.06
    (5.81)
    1.41
    (1.33)
    5%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 15%). PSG will win (votes: 27 - 67.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 53%82%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
    • Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • PSG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Lacking Match Fitness) Coco M. (Red Card) Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Pacho W. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Lopes A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 15:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 1:1
    17.02.2024 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    09.12.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 2:1
    04.03.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 4:2
    03.09.2022 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    Latest results of Nantes
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
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    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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