Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stamford Bridge (London).

: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.09
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
9	5
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
9	3
Passes
85% (388/456)	87% (482/551)
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	1.71
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
6	0
Shots inside the box
10	7
Shots outside the box
8	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
28	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
10	8
Passes
85% (388/456)	87% (482/551)
Long passes
39% (14/36)	45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)	81% (77/95)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.23	0.48
Throw ins
19	11
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
73% (8/11)	45% (9/20)
Duels won
44	38
Clearances
4	29
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	9
xGOT faced
1.71	2.23
Goals prevented
-1.29	2.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Neves J. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
46', Sarr M. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
59', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
59', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
59', Palmer C. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
60', Fernandez E. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Mayulu S. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
66', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
66', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
71', Cucurella M. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
73', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,

Chances of winning

Chelsea
42.6%

Draw
22.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

22.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

22.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)	4.2 ↓ (4.35)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	4.1% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 26 - 50%). PSG will win (votes: 18 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 36.4% – 63.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 5 - 55.6%). PSG (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - PSG (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PSG (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - PSG (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - PSG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 5 - 35.7%). PSG (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 2-5. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Inactive) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) James R. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen F. (Groin Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sharman-Lowe T. (Inactive) Slonina G. (Inactive) Wiley C. (Inactive)
There will not play in PSG: Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Illness)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Chelsea has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Chelsea?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2

13.07.2025 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0

Latest results of Chelsea

14.03.2026 Chelsea - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Wrexham - Chelsea 2:4 ✺

04.03.2026 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:4 ✺

01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Metz 3:0 ✺

Draw

1/8-finals

1	Borac Banja Luka	Levski Sofia	0 : 4, 1 : 1
2	ML Vitebsk	Univ. Craiova	0 : 1, 1 : 4
3	Omonia	Bye
4	Kairat Almaty	Sutjeska	2 : 0, 2 : 1
8	Bye	AEK Athens
9	Celtic	Bye
16	Bye	LASK
17	Thun	Bye
18	Bye	Din. Zagreb
19	Klaksvik	Bissen	2 : 1, 2 : 1
20	Kauno Zalgiris	Drita	3 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Bye	Viking
25	Mjallby	Bye
26	Lincoln Red Imps	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 3 : 1
27	Flora	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 2 : 3
28	Bye	Slovan Bratislava
29	Ararat-Armenia	Riga FC	2 : 3, 2 : 0
30	Floriana	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 5, 2 : 0
31	Petrocub	Egnatia	1 : 6, 1 : 1
32	Bye	Celje
33	Vikingur Reykjavik	Gyor	2 : 2, 1 : 0
34	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
35	Tre Fiori	Larne	1 : 2, 0 : 1
36	Bye	Crvena zvezda
37	Aarhus	Bye
38	Bye	Lech Poznan
39	Sabah Baku	TNS	2 : 1, 2 : 0
40	Vardar	KuPS	3 : 2, 0 : 2
41	Fenerbahce	Bye
42	Bye	Gornik Zabrze
43	Sturm Graz	Bye
44	Bye	Hearts
45	Sparta Prague	Bye
48	Bye	Lyon
49	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
52	Bye	Nijmegen
53	Royale Union SG	Bye
56	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Quarter-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Univ. Craiova	2 : 2, 1 : 0
2	Omonia	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	AEK Athens
5	Celtic	Bye
8	Bye	LASK
9	Thun	Din. Zagreb	2 : 3, 1 : 1
10	Klaksvik	Kauno Zalgiris	0 : 1, 0 : 0
12	Bye	Viking
13	Mjallby	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 0, 3 : 0
14	Iberia 1999	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 0 : 2
15	Ararat-Armenia	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 2, 2 : 0
16	Egnatia	Celje	2 : 3, 3 : 3
17	Vikingur Reykjavik	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 2, 2 : 1
18	Larne	Crvena zvezda	0 : 5, 0 : 4
19	Aarhus	Lech Poznan	5 : 1, 1 : 4
20	Sabah Baku	KuPS	2 : 0, 1 : 0
21	Fenerbahce	Gornik Zabrze	1 : 1, 1 : 0
22	Sturm Graz	Hearts	2 : 0, 4 : 0
23	Sparta Prague	Bye
24	Bye	Lyon
25	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
26	Bye	Nijmegen
27	Royale Union SG	Bye
28	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Semi-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Kairat Almaty	1 : 0, 1 : 0
2	Bye	AEK Athens
3	Celtic	Bye
4	Bye	LASK
5	Din. Zagreb	Kauno Zalgiris	2 : 1, 5 : 0
6	Bye	Viking
7	Mjallby	Slovan Bratislava	0 : 2, 1 : 2
8	Ararat-Armenia	Celje	0 : 2, 2 : 1
9	H. Beer Sheva	Crvena zvezda	2 : 0, 1 : 0
10	Aarhus	Sabah Baku	0 : 4, 2 : 1
11	Fenerbahce	Sturm Graz	1 : 0, 2 : 0
12	Sparta Prague	Lyon	0 : 3, 2 : 1
13	Olympiacos Piraeus	Nijmegen	1 : 2, 0 : 0
14	Royale Union SG	Bodo/Glimt	2 : 3, 3 : 3

Final

1	Levski Sofia	AEK Athens
2	Celtic	LASK
3	Din. Zagreb	Viking
4	Slovan Bratislava	Celje
5	H. Beer Sheva	Sabah Baku
6	Fenerbahce	Lyon
7	Nijmegen	Bodo/Glimt

Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Moji, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	HBO Max
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	ATV Suriname
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	Sport 24 Extra, VIX App