Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/465) | 85% (428/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/465) | 85% (428/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/86) | 68% (69/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽,
- 18', Machado D. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 21', Gilli S. 🟨,
- 23', Tati T. 🟨,
- 29', Kebbal I. 🟨,
- 35', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Mwanga J. (A),
- 60', Kolodziejczak T. 🟨,
- 65', El Arabi Y. ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
- 65', Coquelin F. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 67', Gory A. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Koleosho L. ⚽, Traore H. (A),
- 81', Otavio ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 82', Sissoko I. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 87', Kebbal I. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mra37fcf
Chances of winning
Nantes
36.1% | Draw
29.8% | Paris FC
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantes's performance.Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Nantes - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↓
(3.05) |
3.18 ↑
(3.15) |
2.79 ↑
(2.39) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Paris FC?
- Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 34.4% – 68.6%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Paris FC (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- DC - Nantes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Nantes (2.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Paris FC (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Paris FC (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Awaziem C.
(International duty)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Mostafa Mohamed
(International duty)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
Lees-Melou P.
(Shin Injury)
Simon M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: De Smet T.
(Inactive)
Dicko N.
(Inactive)
Geubbels W.
(Muscle Injury)
Gory A.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Munetsi M.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Paris FC?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Nantes?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Paris FC were as follows:
24.10.2025
Paris FC
-
Nantes
1:2
09.08.2025
Nantes
-
Paris FC
2:3
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Paris FC?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, VIX App |
