New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami
Result
1:5
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.99
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (293/365)88% (563/638)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.114.80
Total shots
913
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2132
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
815
Passes
80% (293/365)88% (563/638)
Long passes
51% (23/45)73% (54/74)
Passes in final third
76% (111/147)82% (106/129)
Crosses
57% (4/7)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.53
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
158
Tackles
59% (10/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
1914
Interceptions
195
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
4.801.11
Goals prevented
-0.200.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', Segovia T. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hack A. , Forsberg E. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Alba J. , Messi L. (A), Suarez L. (A2)
  • 27', 1 - 2, Segovia T. , Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 29', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 34', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 45+6', Weigandt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 56', Donkor R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 56', Hall J. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 60', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 65', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 74', Sofo M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 74', Segovia T. , Bright Y. ,
  • 75', Lujan G. , Aviles T. ,
  • 75', 1 - 5, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Cremaschi B. (A2)
  • 84', Edelman D. , Stroud P. ,
  • 85', Busquets S. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Alba J. , Morales S. ,
  • 90+3', Edwards R. , Nealis D. ,

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
39.6%
Draw
25.7%
Inter Miami
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 27.6% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 27% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (3.68)
    3.71
    (3.42)
    2.72
    (2.03)
    5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Obando A. (Muscle Injury) Ustari O. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    04.05.2024 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 6:2
    23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 4:0
    26.08.2023 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 0:2
    31.05.2023 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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