New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami
Result
1:5
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.99
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (293/365)88% (563/638)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.114.80
Total shots
913
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2132
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
815
Passes
80% (293/365)88% (563/638)
Long passes
51% (23/45)73% (54/74)
Passes in final third
76% (111/147)82% (106/129)
Crosses
57% (4/7)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.53
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
158
Tackles
59% (10/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
1914
Interceptions
195
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
4.801.11
Goals prevented
-0.200.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', Segovia T. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hack A. , Forsberg E. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Alba J. , Messi L. (A), Suarez L. (A2)
  • 27', 1 - 2, Segovia T. , Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 29', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 34', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 45+6', Weigandt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 56', Donkor R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 56', Hall J. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 60', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 65', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 74', Sofo M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 74', Segovia T. , Bright Y. ,
  • 75', Lujan G. , Aviles T. ,
  • 75', 1 - 5, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Cremaschi B. (A2)
  • 84', Edelman D. , Stroud P. ,
  • 85', Busquets S. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Alba J. , Morales S. ,
  • 90+3', Edwards R. , Nealis D. ,

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
39.6%
Draw
25.7%
Inter Miami
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 27.6% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 27% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (3.68)
    3.71
    (3.42)
    2.72
    (2.03)
    5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Obando A. (Muscle Injury) Ustari O. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    04.05.2024 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 6:2
    23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 4:0
    26.08.2023 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 0:2
    31.05.2023 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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