San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.67
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5243
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.53
Goals prevented
0.230.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. , Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Ngoma S. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 59', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 77', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 77', Harkes I. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 77', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,
  • 80', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 80', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 86', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 87', Edwards R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forsberg E. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%
Draw
23.9%
New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.03)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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