CF Montréal vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Inter Miami
Result
1:4
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.263.71
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Long passes
48% (14/29)70% (37/53)
Passes in final third
73% (56/77)69% (71/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1214
Tackles
63% (5/8)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
229
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.711.26
Goals prevented
-0.290.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 45+2', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Piette S. , Campbell G. ,
  • 54', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Segovia T. , Allende T. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 69', Sealy D. , Duke B. ,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 72', Aviles T. , Martinez D. ,
  • 72', Cremaschi B. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 72', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 80', Clark C. , Synchuk G. ,
  • 83', Allende T. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 87', Falcon M. , Sailor R. ,
  • 88', Martinez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
29%
Draw
23.4%
Inter Miami
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 24.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • CF Montréal - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.91)
    4.04
    (3.87)
    2.02
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury) Waterman J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Inter Miami were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2
    11.05.2024 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 2:3
    10.03.2024 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:3
    27.05.2023 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:0
    25.02.2023 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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