Nantes vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nantes - Lyon
Result
1:1
26/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Nantes - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.07
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
715
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
17
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
48
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1114
Offsides
23
Fouls
1411
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1615
Touches in the Opposition Box
1745
Passes
85% (299/351)89% (536/604)
Passes in the final third
71% (55/78)80% (111/138)
Crosses
16% (4/25)35% (7/20)
Tackles
60% (12/20)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
2331
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Nuamah E. , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 41', Pallois N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Mollet F. 🟨,
  • 59', Clinton Mata 🟨,
  • 64', Lacazette A. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 64', Cherki R. , Almada T. ,
  • 69', Mollet F. , Coco M. ,
  • 69', Guirassy B. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 73', Kumbedi S. , Maitland-Niles A. ,
  • 78', Cozza N. , Leroux L. ,
  • 78', Amian K. , Assoumani D. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Mostafa Mohamed , Simon M. (A),
  • 90+3', Abline M. , Gbamin J. ,
  • 90+4', Coco M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
23.4%
Draw
26.2%
Lyon
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 26.5% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 25.9% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nantes - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (3.3)
    3.62
    (3.5)
    1.88
    (2.05)
    5.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Nantes have a series of guest games.
    • Lyon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Kadewere T. (Muscle Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury) Zeze N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Maitland-Niles A. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Lyon: Fofana M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:35 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Lyon - Nantes 2:0
    07.04.2024 Nantes - Lyon 1:3
    20.12.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:0
    05.04.2023 Nantes - Lyon 1:0
    17.03.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    19.01.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nantes 1:1
    15.01.2025 Brest - Nantes 2:1
    10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1
    21.12.2024 Drancy - Nantes 0:4
    Latest results of Lyon
    23.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Lyon 0:0
    18.01.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 0:0
    15.01.2025 Bourgoin-Jallieu - Lyon 3:2
    11.01.2025 Brest - Lyon 2:1
    04.01.2025 Lyon - Montpellier 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Lyon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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