Result
2:1
10/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 33
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (250/304) | 87% (417/478) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (250/304) | 87% (417/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (62/82) | 76% (122/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Methalie D. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
- 26', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 44', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Vossah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', McKenzie M. 🟨,
- 57', Endrick 🟨,
- 58', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 60', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 61', Vossah A. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
- 61', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 67', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 70', Yaremchuk R. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Endrick (A),
- 78', 2 - 1, Kamanzi W. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),
- 79', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 82', Hidalgo S. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
- 83', Morton T. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
- 83', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
- 89', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 90+1', Gboho Y. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
23.6% | Draw
24.5% | Lyon
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Toulouse - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.86) |
3.88 ↑
(3.61) |
1.85 ↓
(1.9) |
4.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lyon?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(36 of 45 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.31% – 91.69%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- Toulouse is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
Sauer M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lyon: Hamdani A.
(Inactive)
Himbert R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kango S.
(Inactive)
Mangala O.
(Thigh Injury)
Tessmann T.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lyon?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Toulouse?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lyon were as follows:
05.10.2025
Lyon
-
Toulouse
1:2
18.01.2025
Lyon
-
Toulouse
0:0
29.09.2024
Toulouse
-
Lyon
1:2
15.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Lyon
2:3
10.12.2023
Lyon
-
Toulouse
3:0
Latest results of Toulouse
Draw
Relegation - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nice | Bye | |
| 3 | St Etienne | Bye | |
| 4 | Red Star | Rodez | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nice | Bye | |
| 2 | St Etienne | Rodez | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Nice | St Etienne | 4 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Lyon?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
