Result
0:1
03/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/515) | 86% (398/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 3.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/515) | 86% (398/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (136/168) | 69% (68/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.25 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.01 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sahraoui O. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 46', Verdonk C. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
- 57', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 57', Giroud O. ↓, Ueda A. ↑,
- 57', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 65', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
- 66', Messali R. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,
- 71', Bentaleb N. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 71', Restes G. ↓, Niflore M. ↑,
- 72', Vossah A. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
25.2% | Draw
27.5% | Lille
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toulouse - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.11) |
3.48 ↑
(3.34) |
2.03 ↓
(2.33) |
4.1%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lille?
- Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 46 - 82.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 72.1% – 92.1%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- 1X2, 1st Half - Lille (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lille (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Toulouse (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 10%). Lille (votes: 9 - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- Toulouse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lille is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lille?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Toulouse?
Lille has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lille were as follows:
12.04.2026
Toulouse
-
Lille
0:4
14.09.2025
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
12.04.2025
Toulouse
-
Lille
1:2
05.10.2024
Lille
-
Toulouse
2:1
25.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Lille
3:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Lille?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1 |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+ |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1 |
 Iran | Persiana Sports 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
