Result
2:5
25/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Metz - Lyon live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (405/472) | 82% (353/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 3.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (405/472) | 82% (353/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 62% (38/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.91 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 11', 0 - 1, Endrick ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, Kluivert R. ⚽, Merah K. (A),
- 32', 0 - 3, Morton T. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 3, Kouao K. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 4, Endrick ⚽, Morton T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tolisso C. ↓, Niakhate M. ↑,
- 62', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 63', Yegbe T. ↓, Mboula U. ↑,
- 63', Deminguet J. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 4, Diallo H. ⚽, Kouao K. (A),
- 72', Kouao K. 🟨,
- 74', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
- 78', Colin M. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 5, Endrick (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 90+2', Endrick ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
- 90+3', Moreira A. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metz
18.7% | Draw
24.4% | Lyon
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Lyon aligns with the current prediction.
Metz - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(4.48) |
3.92 ↓
(4.04) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Lyon?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH +0.5 - Metz (2.21) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Lyon (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lyon (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Metz (4.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Metz (1.98) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- AH +1 - Lyon (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(43 of 49 users predict this - 87.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 96.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Lyon (votes: 26 - 78.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
- Metz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Sy P.
(Concussion)
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Abner Vinicius
(Injury)
Ghezzal R.
(Muscle Injury)
Tagliafico N.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:36. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Lyon?
Metz has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Metz?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lyon were as follows:
23.08.2025
Lyon
-
Metz
3:0
23.02.2024
Metz
-
Lyon
1:2
05.11.2023
Lyon
-
Metz
1:1
07.01.2023
Lyon
-
Metz
2:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Metz - Lyon?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
