Result
3:1
13/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (330/411) | 84% (383/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (330/411) | 84% (383/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 43% (15/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/124) | 74% (100/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Adingra S. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Adingra S. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
- 30', 3 - 0, Zakaria D. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
- 43', Akliouche M. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 45+1', Camara L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Centonze F. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
- 45+3', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sylla A. ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
- 63', Camara L. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
- 65', Golovin A. 🟨,
- 65', Golovin A. 🟨,
- 66', Cabella R. ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
- 66', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
- 66', Kaba M. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 76', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
- 76', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
- 76', Vanderson ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
- 78', Ali Youssef ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 82', Teze J. 🟨,
- 87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sissoko I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monaco
65.5% | Draw
19.9% | Nantes
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Monaco - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.45) |
4.8 ↓
(4.91) |
6.54 ↑
(6.09) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Nantes?
- Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 61.6% – 84.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- DC - Monaco (1.15) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Nantes (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Nantes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Nantes (votes: 5 - 22.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.
- Monaco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nantes is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P.
(Muscle Injury)
Dier E.
(Injury)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Calf Injury)
Pogba P.
(Calf Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Fati A.
(Muscle Injury)
Mawissa C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Guilbert F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 3.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Nantes?
Monaco has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Monaco?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nantes were as follows:
29.10.2025
Nantes
-
Monaco
3:5
15.02.2025
Monaco
-
Nantes
7:1
10.01.2025
Nantes
-
Monaco
2:2
19.05.2024
Monaco
-
Nantes
4:0
25.08.2023
Nantes
-
Monaco
3:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Nantes?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
