Nantes vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:1
07/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
Nantes - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.21
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Passes
83% (368/442)82% (323/392)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.46
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
86
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2618
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1113
Passes
83% (368/442)82% (323/392)
Long passes
38% (15/39)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
70% (96/137)67% (70/104)
Crosses
27% (7/26)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.03
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1311
Tackles
70% (14/20)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2237
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.460.17
Goals prevented
0.460.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Endrick 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sulc P. , Moreira A. (A),
  • 37', Amian K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mostafa Mohamed , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 61', Endrick 🟥,
  • 63', Tabibou D. , Machado D. ,
  • 66', Ali Youssef 🟨,
  • 72', Cozza N. , Sylla A. ,
  • 73', Amian K. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 76', Greif D. 🟨,
  • 82', Kaba M. 🟨,
  • 87', Moreira A. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 87', Kaba M. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 90+4', Sulc P. , Merah K. ,
  • 90+9', Abline M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
19.6%
Draw
25.4%
Lyon
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 24.2% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5% 24.2% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Nantes - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (5.11)
    3.76
    (3.91)
    1.73
    (1.65)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH 0 - Nantes (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.75 - Lyon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
      • 1X2, 1st Half - Lyon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Lyon (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Lyon will win (49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 83.01%98.47%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Lyon (votes: 35 - 97.2%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Muscle Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Machado D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lyon: Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    26.01.2025 Nantes - Lyon 1:1
    06.10.2024 Lyon - Nantes 2:0
    07.04.2024 Nantes - Lyon 1:3
    20.12.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0
    01.02.2026 Lyon - Lille 1:0
    29.01.2026 Lyon - PAOK 4:2
    25.01.2026 Metz - Lyon 2:5
    22.01.2026 Young Boys - Lyon 0:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Marseille29164958:382052
    4Lille28155845:341150
    5Rennes29148749:41850
    6Monaco291541050:43749
    7Lyon28146841:291248
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient28911838:42-438
    10Toulouse281071139:35437
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers29961425:39-1433
    14Le Havre286101223:36-1328
    15Nice28761533:55-2227
    16Auxerre29591523:37-1424
    17Nantes28471724:45-2119
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nantes - Lyon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
    brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
    franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    italyItalyLigue 1+
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
    worldWorldOnefootball
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