Fenerbahçe vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Fenerbahçe - Lyon
18/08/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Fenerbahçe - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
46.9%
Draw
26.2%
Lyon
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 26.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 24.6% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Fenerbahçe - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.84)
    3.62
    (3.39)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    5%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Lyon?
    • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Lyon will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 54.3%84.5%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lyon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Fenerbahçe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lyon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fenerbahçe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Demir E. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Diouf A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Fayed O. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Musaba A. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Inactive) Under C. (Inactive) Yandas M. (Inactive) Yesilyurt A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Merah K. (Ankle Injury) Sulc P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Gunok M. (Muscle Injury) Soyuncu C. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Lyon were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Lyon 0:0
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Latest results of Lyon
    11.08.2026 Lyon - Sparta Prague 3:0
    04.08.2026 Sparta Prague - Lyon 2:1
    29.07.2026 Betis - Lyon 4:0
    24.07.2026 Wolfsburg - Lyon 0:2
    15.07.2026 Lyon - Servette 2:1
    Draw

    1/8-finals
    1Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia0 : 4, 1 : 1
    2ML VitebskUniv. Craiova0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3OmoniaBye
    4Kairat AlmatySutjeska2 : 0, 2 : 1
    8ByeAEK Athens
    9CelticBye
    16ByeLASK
    17ThunBye
    18ByeDin. Zagreb
    19KlaksvikBissen2 : 1, 2 : 1
    20Kauno ZalgirisDrita3 : 2, 1 : 1
    24ByeViking
    25MjallbyBye
    26Lincoln Red ImpsInter Escaldes1 : 1, 3 : 1
    27FloraIberia 19992 : 2, 2 : 3
    28ByeSlovan Bratislava
    29Ararat-ArmeniaRiga FC2 : 3, 2 : 0
    30FlorianaShamrock Rovers1 : 5, 2 : 0
    31PetrocubEgnatia1 : 6, 1 : 1
    32ByeCelje
    33Vikingur ReykjavikGyor2 : 2, 1 : 0
    34ByeH. Beer Sheva
    35Tre FioriLarne1 : 2, 0 : 1
    36ByeCrvena zvezda
    37AarhusBye
    38ByeLech Poznan
    39Sabah BakuTNS2 : 1, 2 : 0
    40VardarKuPS3 : 2, 0 : 2
    41FenerbahceBye
    42ByeGornik Zabrze
    43Sturm GrazBye
    44ByeHearts
    45Sparta PragueBye
    48ByeLyon
    49Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    52ByeNijmegen
    53Royale Union SGBye
    56ByeBodo/Glimt

    Quarter-finals
    1Levski SofiaUniv. Craiova2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2OmoniaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeAEK Athens
    5CelticBye
    8ByeLASK
    9ThunDin. Zagreb2 : 3, 1 : 1
    10KlaksvikKauno Zalgiris0 : 1, 0 : 0
    12ByeViking
    13MjallbyLincoln Red Imps0 : 0, 3 : 0
    14Iberia 1999Slovan Bratislava1 : 1, 0 : 2
    15Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers1 : 2, 2 : 0
    16EgnatiaCelje2 : 3, 3 : 3
    17Vikingur ReykjavikH. Beer Sheva0 : 2, 2 : 1
    18LarneCrvena zvezda0 : 5, 0 : 4
    19AarhusLech Poznan5 : 1, 1 : 4
    20Sabah BakuKuPS2 : 0, 1 : 0
    21FenerbahceGornik Zabrze1 : 1, 1 : 0
    22Sturm GrazHearts2 : 0, 4 : 0
    23Sparta PragueBye
    24ByeLyon
    25Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    26ByeNijmegen
    27Royale Union SGBye
    28ByeBodo/Glimt

    Semi-finals
    1Levski SofiaKairat Almaty1 : 0, 1 : 0
    2ByeAEK Athens
    3CelticBye
    4ByeLASK
    5Din. ZagrebKauno Zalgiris2 : 1, 5 : 0
    6ByeViking
    7MjallbySlovan Bratislava0 : 2, 1 : 2
    8Ararat-ArmeniaCelje0 : 2, 2 : 1
    9H. Beer ShevaCrvena zvezda2 : 0, 1 : 0
    10AarhusSabah Baku0 : 4, 2 : 1
    11FenerbahceSturm Graz1 : 0, 2 : 0
    12Sparta PragueLyon0 : 3, 2 : 1
    13Olympiacos PiraeusNijmegen1 : 2, 0 : 0
    14Royale Union SGBodo/Glimt2 : 3, 3 : 3

    Final
    1Levski SofiaAEK Athens
    2CelticLASK
    3Din. ZagrebViking
    4Slovan BratislavaCelje
    5H. Beer ShevaSabah Baku
    6FenerbahceLyon
    7NijmegenBodo/Glimt
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fenerbahçe - Lyon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
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    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
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    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
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