Lithuania vs Netherlands, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA World Cup
Soccer FIFA World Cup Lithuania - Netherlands
Result
2:3
07/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
Lithuania - Netherlands - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.341.10
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
71% (162/229)87% (552/631)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.341.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.34
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1545
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
71% (162/229)87% (552/631)
Long passes
25% (13/53)66% (27/41)
Passes in final third
52% (28/54)80% (207/260)
Crosses
9% (1/11)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.65
Throw-ins
922
Fouls
1310
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
5417
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.341.18
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Gakpo C. (A),
  • 28', Lasickas J. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Timber Q. ⚽,
  • 36', 1 - 2, Gineitis G. ⚽, Lasickas J. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 2, Girdvainis E. ⚽, Gineitis G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Antanavicius D. ↓, Vorobjovas M. ↑,
  • 46', Jansonas R. ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
  • 50', Upstas K. ↓, Beneta M. ↑,
  • 62', Ake N. ↓, van de Ven M. ↑,
  • 62', de Vrij S. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
  • 62', Reijnders T. ↓, Steijn S. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 3, Depay M. ⚽, Dumfries D. (A),
  • 67', Sirgedas G. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
  • 76', Dolznikov A. ↓, Magdusauskas V. ↑,
  • 83', Depay M. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 88', Malen D. ↓, de Ligt M. ↑,
  • 90+4', Golubickas P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lithuania
3%		Draw
7.7%		Netherlands
89.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
2.2% 7.9% 89.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
    •

    Lithuania - Netherlands Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 32.86 ↓
    (44.33)    		 12.4 ↑
    (12.17)    		 1.08 ↑
    (1.07)    		 3.4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Lithuania - Netherlands?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Netherlands will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 71.8% – 98.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Netherlands will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Netherlands is the clear favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lithuania
    04.09.2025 Lithuania - Malta 1:1 ✺
    10.06.2025 Denmark - Lithuania 5:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0 ✺
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Netherlands
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1 ✺
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2 ✺
    23.03.2025 Spain - Netherlands 4:3 ✺
    20.03.2025 Netherlands - Spain 2:2 ✺
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lithuania - Netherlands?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+, SporTV
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
    franceFranceFree, L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
    lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius, LRT TV
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 2
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24 Extra
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