Poland vs Netherlands, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
14/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Poland - Netherlands - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.74
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
88% (362/411)93% (579/620)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.02
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
88% (362/411)93% (579/620)
Long passes
66% (31/47)59% (13/22)
Passes in final third
81% (73/90)87% (197/227)
Crosses
28% (5/18)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.471.35
Throw-ins
109
Fouls
1014
Tackles
44% (8/18)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3934
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.021.17
Goals prevented
0.020.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Szymanski S. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 17', Zielinski P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Kaminski J. , Lewandowski R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Depay M. ,
  • 67', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
  • 74', Geertruida L. , van Hecke J. P. ,
  • 74', Kluivert J. , Reijnders T. ,
  • 81', Cash M. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 82', Zalewski N. , Grosicki K. ,
  • 89', Depay M. , Emegha E. ,
  • 89', Gravenberch R. , Schouten J. ,
  • 90+2', Lewandowski R. , Buksa A. ,
  • 90+2', Kaminski J. , Rozga F. ,
  • 90+6', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Poland
19.8%
Draw
26.3%
Netherlands
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 22.8% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Netherlands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Poland - Netherlands Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (5.44)
    3.66
    (4.17)
    1.8
    (1.59)
    3.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Poland - Netherlands?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
      • DC - Poland (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.75 - Poland (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Netherlands will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 73.28%94.9%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Netherlands will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Netherlands (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0.
    • In this match, Netherlands is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Poland: Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Moder J. (Back Injury) Piatek K. (Muscle Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Urbanski K. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Netherlands: Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Hartman Q. (Illness) Koopmeiners T. (Inactive) de Vrij S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland - Netherlands were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    16.06.2024 Poland - Netherlands 1:2
    22.09.2022 Poland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Poland
    12.10.2025 Lithuania - Poland 0:2
    09.10.2025 Poland - New Zealand 1:0
    07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    Latest results of Netherlands
    12.10.2025 Netherlands - Finland 4:0
    09.10.2025 Malta - Netherlands 0:4
    07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Poland - Netherlands?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, Vidio
    israelIsraelSport 2
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, NPO 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamTV 360
    worldWorldSport 24
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