Finland vs Lithuania, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer FIFA World Cup Finland - Lithuania
Result
2:1
09/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
Finland - Lithuania - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.85
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (367/427)84% (364/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.27
Total shots
128
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2011
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
86% (367/427)84% (364/433)
Long passes
48% (20/42)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
80% (95/119)57% (47/82)
Crosses
18% (3/17)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.84
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
2113
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.272.18
Goals prevented
-0.730.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Dolznikov A. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sirvys P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Markhiev A. , Antman O. (A),
  • 60', Dolznikov A. , Jankauskas E. ,
  • 60', Golubickas P. , Slivka V. ,
  • 61', Markhiev A. , Lod R. ,
  • 65', Kallman B. , Terho C. ,
  • 72', Ivanov R. 🟨,
  • 77', Armalas V. , Sirgedas G. ,
  • 77', Paulauskas G. , Petkevicius N. ,
  • 83', Lahteenmaki J. , Stahl A. ,
  • 83', Antman O. , Keskinen T. ,
  • 83', Walta L. , Peltola M. ,
  • 90+4', Keskinen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Finland
62.3%
Draw
23.7%
Lithuania
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 21.9% 12.4%

Finland - Lithuania Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.5)
4.07
(4.49)
6.9
(7.95)
4.4%
(1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Finland - Lithuania?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 57 - 87.7%). Lithuania will win (votes: 2 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 79.7%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Finland (2.06) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Finland (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Finland will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Finland (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Lithuania (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
  • In this match, Finland is the obvious favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Lithuania were as follows:
24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
Latest results of Finland
07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1
04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0
10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
Latest results of Lithuania
07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
04.09.2025 Lithuania - Malta 1:1
10.06.2025 Denmark - Lithuania 5:0
07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0
24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
FIFA World Cup Table
South America
PlWDLDiffPts
1Argentina18122431:102138
2Ecuador1888214:5929
3Colombia1877428:181028
4Uruguay1877422:121028
5Brazil1884624:17728
6Paraguay1877414:10428
7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
9Peru1826106:21-1512
10Chile1825119:27-1811

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Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Lithuania?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea
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