Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions
Result
60:93
24/05/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
814
Behinds
129
Kicks
198242
Handballs
171124
Disposals
369366
Frees For
1323
Frees Against
2313
Clearances Completed
2441
Marks
110110
Tackles
3659
Hitouts
4930

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 15)
  • 03:54, Fletcher J. (Behind),
  • 07:30, Morris L. (G),
  • 09:43, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 11:05, Morris L. (G),
  • 13:34, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:43, Weddle J. (G),
  • 24:55, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 26:52, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:44, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (15 - 42)
  • 02:01, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 06:01, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 09:39, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 14:22, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:54, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 18:58, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 21:09, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 22:41, Cameron C. (G),
  • 24:12, Cameron C. (G),
  • 25:43, Cameron C. (G),
  • 28:25, Ashcroft L. (G),
  • 32', Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (16 - 14)
  • 02:57, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 03:36, Rayner C. (G),
  • 08:52, Nash C. (G),
  • 10:09, Gardiner D. (Behind),
  • 12:28, Ward J. (Behind),
  • 13:30, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 17:00, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 21:07, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 23:06, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 23:54, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (10 - 22)
  • 00:36, Rayner C. (G),
  • 02:19, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 04:14, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 05:17, Jiath C. (Behind),
  • 08:17, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 09:40, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 12:07, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 13:19, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 17:51, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 18:25, Moore D. (G),
  • 20:03, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 26:27, Maginness F. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Hawthorn Hawks
64.3%
Brisbane Lions
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawthorn Hawks's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawthorn Hawks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.69)

    2.59
    (2.19)
    7.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
  • What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hawthorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1485:1303. (average 87.4:76.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1151:900. (average 95.9:75).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 100:75
    09.06.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 98:73
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2015052019:1401144.1160
    2Collingwood Magpies2015051807:1382130.7560
    3Brisbane Lions2014151781:1589112.0858
    4Geelong Cats2014062102:1517138.5656
    5Fremantle Dockers2014061730:1531113.0056
    6Gold Coast Suns1913061784:1426125.1152
    7Hawthorn Hawks2013071764:1500117.6052
    8GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    9Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    10Sydney Swans20100101567:165094.9740
    11Port Adelaide Power2080121484:185979.8332
    12Melbourne Demons2070131671:175995.0028
    13Carlton Blues2070131517:164892.0528
    14St Kilda Saints2070131613:184687.3828
    15Essendon Bombers1960131281:178071.9724
    16Richmond Tigers2050151246:190365.4820
    17North Melbourne2041151491:203273.3818
    18West Coast Eagles2010191305:210761.944

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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