Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
89:79
24/08/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 24
Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1111
Behinds
2313
Kicks
240183
Handballs
152159
Disposals
392342
Frees For
1512
Frees Against
1215
Clearances Completed
4234
Marks
11263
Tackles
5753
Hitouts
4141

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 21)
  • 02:27, Newcombe J. (Behind),
  • 04:16, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 05:58, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 06:52, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 08:13, Chol M. (G),
  • 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:44, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 14:57, Chol M. (G),
  • 19:41, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 22:30, Day S. (Behind),
  • 24:27, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 25:24, Day S. (Behind),
  • 26:59, Chol M. (G),
  • 28:51, Newcombe J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (38 - 20)
  • 02:25, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 06:05, Dunkley J. (Behind),
  • 09:17, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:53, Fletcher J. (G),
  • 16:12, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 18:37, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 20:25, Dear C. (Behind),
  • 21:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:22, Cameron C. (G),
  • 28:52, Lewis M. (G),
  • 31:42, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 33:24, Rayner C. (G),
  • 34:42, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 15)
  • 00:30, Morris L. (G),
  • 02:22, Cameron C. (G),
  • 03:55, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 04:40, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 05:49, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 07:28, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 08:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:47, Gunston J. (G),
  • 12:42, Dunkley J. (Behind),
  • 14:28, Meek L. (G),
  • 15:57, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:31, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:41, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 22:55, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 24:18, Amon K. (Behind),
  • 25:07, Sicily J. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (22 - 23)
  • 01:01, Moore D. (G),
  • 02:09, Newcombe J. (Behind),
  • 04:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:30, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 07:17, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 09:45, Meek L. (Behind),
  • 11:35, Fort D. (Behind),
  • 13', (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:43, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 16:47, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 20:11, Reville B. (G),
  • 21:28, Rayner C. (G),
  • 23:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:19, Watson N. (G),
  • 32', (Behind),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
57.6%
Hawthorn Hawks
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.58)

    2.22
    (2.4)
    8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
    • In recent matches, Brisbane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of home games.
    • Brisbane might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1396:1545. (average 77.6:85.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 403:334. (average 80.6:66.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93
    25.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 100:75
    09.06.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 98:73
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    Main
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Brisbane Lions2316162061:1804114.2566
    4Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    5GWS Giants2316072114:1834115.2764
    6Fremantle Dockers2316071978:1815108.9864
    7Gold Coast Suns2315082173:1740124.8960
    8Hawthorn Hawks2315082045:1691120.9360
    9Western Bulldogs2314092493:1820136.9856
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2390141839:207788.5436
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2360171535:220969.4924
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

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