Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

University of Tasmania Stadium (Launceston).

: AFL - Round 14

Match Stats


Goals
6	5
Behinds
11	14
Kicks
212	231
Handballs
123	106
Disposals
335	337
Frees For
26	24
Frees Against
24	26
Clearances Completed
39	43
Marks
61	72
Tackles
78	75
Hitouts
42	50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (2 - 15)
08:08, Curtin D. (G),
09:42, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
12:02, Berry S. (Behind),
14:05, (Behind Rushed),
22:16, Cumming I. (G),
25:19, Ramsden M. (Behind),
26:27, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (14 - 16)
00:46, Keays B. (G),
02:43, (Behind Rushed),
04:15, Fogarty D. (Behind),
05:49, Gunston J. (G),
08:48, Meek L. (Behind),
15:59, Walker T. (Behind),
18:17, Walker T. (Behind),
20:15, Gunston J. (G),
23:18, Keays B. (G),
30:36, Gunston J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (15 - 4)
00:18, Macdonald C. (G),
03:49, Moore D. (Behind),
05:54, Chol M. (G),
09:19, Walker T. (Behind),
16:41, Chol M. (Behind),
18:22, Keays B. (Behind),
23:24, Morrison H. (Behind),
25:54, Dawson J. (Behind),
31:06, Rachele J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (16 - 9)
01:01, Rachele J. (Behind),
02:35, Rankine I. (Behind),
06:47, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
10:18, (Behind Rushed),
13:32, Gunston J. (Behind),
15:24, Butler S. (Behind),
16:31, Gunston J. (Behind),
18:27, Macdonald C. (G),
20:30, Rankine I. (G),
25:10, Newcombe J. (G),

Chances of winning

Hawthorn Hawks
51.6%

Adelaide Crows
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-4%)

Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.01)		1.92 ↑ (1.8)	7.5% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 50%). Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:74.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 3.
In recent matches, Hawthorn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Adelaide is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hawthorn has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1637:1354. (average 90.9:75.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 940:802. (average 85.5:72.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Adelaide Crows?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Adelaide Crows has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows were as follows:

28.07.2024 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 58:124

31.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 107:80

22.04.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 76:79

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

05.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 59:81 ✺

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63 ✺

31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺

24.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles 128:62 ✺

16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68 ✺

10.05.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows 84:89 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	16	14	0	2	1508:1085	138.99	56
2	Brisbane Lions	16	11	1	4	1436:1252	114.70	46
3	Adelaide Crows	16	11	0	5	1569:1135	138.24	44
4	Geelong Cats	16	11	0	5	1601:1210	132.31	44
5	Hawthorn Hawks	16	11	0	5	1441:1212	118.89	44
6	Western Bulldogs	16	10	0	6	1716:1288	133.23	40
7	Gold Coast Suns	15	10	0	5	1432:1169	122.50	40
8	GWS Giants	16	10	0	6	1405:1255	111.95	40
9	Fremantle Dockers	16	10	0	6	1354:1245	108.76	40
10	Sydney Swans	16	7	0	9	1265:1354	93.43	28
11	Port Adelaide Power	16	7	0	9	1248:1425	87.58	28
12	Carlton Blues	16	6	0	10	1245:1296	96.06	24
13	Essendon Bombers	15	6	0	9	1084:1419	76.39	24
14	Melbourne Demons	16	5	0	11	1253:1446	86.65	20
15	St Kilda Saints	16	5	0	11	1270:1482	85.70	20
16	North Melbourne	16	4	1	11	1237:1601	77.26	18
17	Richmond Tigers	16	3	0	13	1015:1610	63.04	12
18	West Coast Eagles	16	1	0	15	1055:1650	63.94	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
Germany	Sportdigital+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1