Finland vs Poland, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer FIFA World Cup Finland - Poland
Result
2:1
10/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Finland - Poland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.81
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (322/401)83% (350/424)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.33
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2036
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
80% (322/401)83% (350/424)
Long passes
22% (11/49)44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
70% (66/94)73% (92/126)
Crosses
25% (3/12)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.09
Throw-ins
1425
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
3218
Interceptions
87
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
1.331.73
Goals prevented
0.33-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
  • 34', Bednarek J. 🟨,
  • 35', Kairinen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Swiderski K. , Kaminski J. ,
  • 63', Pohjanpalo J. , Kallman B. ,
  • 63', Jensen F. , Alho N. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Kallman B. , Antman O. (A),
  • 69', 2 - 1, Kiwior J. ,
  • 71', Uronen J. , Niskanen I. ,
  • 86', Lod R. , Ivanov R. ,
  • 86', Antman O. , Pukki T. ,
  • 87', Piatek K. , Buksa A. ,
  • 87', Moder J. , Piotrowski J. ,
  • 90+2', Zalewski N. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n8kyzn8

Chances of winning


Finland
26.8%
Draw
29.1%
Poland
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 27.9% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Finland - Poland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.95)
    3.32
    (3.43)
    2.16
    (2)
    4.3%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Finland - Poland?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 16 - 22.5%). Poland will win (votes: 48 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 56.7%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Finland (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Poland (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Finland (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Finland (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Finland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Poland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
    Latest results of Finland
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
    21.03.2025 Malta - Finland 0:1
    17.11.2024 Finland - Greece 0:2
    14.11.2024 Ireland - Finland 1:0
    Latest results of Poland
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    24.03.2025 Poland - Malta 2:0
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0
    18.11.2024 Poland - Scotland 1:2
    15.11.2024 Portugal - Poland 5:1
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina ✔ 16112328:91935
    2Ecuador ✔ 1677213:5825
    3Brazil ✔ 1674521:16525
    4Uruguay1666419:12724
    5Paraguay1666413:10324
    6Colombia1657419:15422
    7Venezuela1646615:19-418
    8Bolivia1652916:32-1617
    9Peru162686:17-1112
    10Chile1624109:24-1510

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Argentina is Qualified for World Championship
    Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship
    Brazil is Qualified for World Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Poland?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, SporTV 3
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryArena 4
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
    indonesiaIndonesiaSINDOnews TV
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2, TVWan
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Sport 24 International, Virgin TV Go app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaSport 24 Extra, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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