Netherlands vs Finland, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA World Cup
Soccer FIFA World Cup Netherlands - Finland
Result
4:0
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Netherlands - Finland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.65
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
91% (607/666)81% (249/309)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.350.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.22
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
466
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
138
Passes
91% (607/666)81% (249/309)
Long passes
79% (31/39)24% (9/37)
Passes in final third
87% (186/214)74% (42/57)
Crosses
41% (13/32)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.56
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
813
Tackles
44% (4/9)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3927
Clearances
326
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.222.35
Goals prevented
0.22-1.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Depay M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, van Dijk V. ⚽, Depay M. (A),
  • 38', 3 - 0, Depay M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gravenberch R. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
  • 60', Alho N. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
  • 60', Vaananen S. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
  • 62', Depay M. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 62', Timber J. ↓, van Hecke J. P. ↑,
  • 69', Keskinen T. ↓, Pohjanpalo J. ↑,
  • 69', Antman O. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
  • 71', van de Ven M. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
  • 79', Malen D. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
  • 80', Walta L. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
  • 86', Koski V. 🟨,
  • 89', Peltola M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Netherlands
89.2%		Draw
6.5%		Finland
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
91.7% 6.2% 2.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
    •

    Netherlands - Finland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.11 ↑
    (1.02)    		 16.44 ↑
    (15)    		 21.72 ↓
    (45)    		 1.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Netherlands - Finland?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Finland will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 62.1% – 93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Finland (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Netherlands will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Netherlands is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Netherlands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Netherlands - Finland were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Netherlands
    09.10.2025 Malta - Netherlands 0:4 ✺
    07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3 ✺
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1 ✺
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Finland
    09.10.2025 Finland - Lithuania 2:1 ✺
    07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1 ✺
    04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0 ✺
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2 ✺
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Championship
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Netherlands - Finland?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandYLE TV2
    franceFranceFree, L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
    indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, NPO 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24 At Sea
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