CF Montréal vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.57
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Long passes
43% (28/65)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
54% (60/111)57% (54/94)
Crosses
6% (1/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.63
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1918
Tackles
68% (13/19)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
2438
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.570.84
Goals prevented
-1.43-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Vassilev I. , Jean Jacques D. (A),
  • 28', Herbers F. 🟨,
  • 36', Pearce T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Vrioni G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 56', Campbell G. 🟨,
  • 57', Vrioni G. , Clark C. ,
  • 57', Herbers F. , Petrasso L. ,
  • 58', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 75', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 75', Vassilev I. , Harriel N. ,
  • 76', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 82', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 83', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 83', Pearce T. , Opoku K. ,
  • 83', Saliba N. , Loturi V. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Uhre M. , Lukic J. (A),
  • 88', Piette S. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Bueno J. ,
  • 88', Lukic J. , Rafanello J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.8%
Draw
28%
Philadelphia Union
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.31)
    3.41
    (3.5)
    2.49
    (2.18)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    18.03.2023 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 3:2
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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