Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.36
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
817
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.85
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
178
Tackles
92% (12/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
3632
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.362.48
Goals prevented
0.360.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ,
  • 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. , Waterman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Herbers F. , Pearce T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 60', Glesnes J. , Westfield F. ,
  • 60', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 60', Synchuk G. , Clark C. ,
  • 66', Piette S. , Duke B. ,
  • 72', Craig B. 🟨,
  • 80', Petrasso L. , Escobar O. ,
  • 80', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 82', Damiani B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.3%
CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.54)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    6.38
    (5.75)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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