Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.36
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
817
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.85
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
178
Tackles
92% (12/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
3632
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.362.48
Goals prevented
0.360.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ,
  • 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. , Waterman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Herbers F. , Pearce T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 60', Glesnes J. , Westfield F. ,
  • 60', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 60', Synchuk G. , Clark C. ,
  • 66', Piette S. , Duke B. ,
  • 72', Craig B. 🟨,
  • 80', Petrasso L. , Escobar O. ,
  • 80', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 82', Damiani B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.3%
CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.54)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    6.38
    (5.75)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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