CF Montréal vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.57
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Long passes
43% (28/65)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
54% (60/111)57% (54/94)
Crosses
6% (1/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.63
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1918
Tackles
68% (13/19)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
2438
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.570.84
Goals prevented
-1.43-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Vassilev I. , Jean Jacques D. (A),
  • 28', Herbers F. 🟨,
  • 36', Pearce T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Vrioni G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 56', Campbell G. 🟨,
  • 57', Vrioni G. , Clark C. ,
  • 57', Herbers F. , Petrasso L. ,
  • 58', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 75', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 75', Vassilev I. , Harriel N. ,
  • 76', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 82', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 83', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 83', Pearce T. , Opoku K. ,
  • 83', Saliba N. , Loturi V. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Uhre M. , Lukic J. (A),
  • 88', Piette S. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Bueno J. ,
  • 88', Lukic J. , Rafanello J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.8%
Draw
28%
Philadelphia Union
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.31)
    3.41
    (3.5)
    2.49
    (2.18)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Philadelphia Union will win! (7 of 8 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    18.03.2023 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 3:2
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1283124:101427
    2Minnesota United1264219:11822
    3Portland Timbers1263322:19321
    4San Diego FC1262423:16720
    5Seattle Sounders1254320:14619
    6Los Angeles FC1253419:18118
    7San Jose Earthquakes1251626:20616
    8Austin FC125168:15-716
    9Colorado Rapids1244415:18-316
    10FC Dallas1244415:20-516
    11Real Salt Lake1241713:18-513
    12Sporting Kansas City1231817:22-510
    13St. Louis City122469:14-510
    14Houston Dynamo1224611:19-810
    15Los Angeles Galaxy120398:28-203


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati1281317:14325
    2Columbus Crew1274120:12825
    3Philadelphia Union1272323:121123
    4Inter Miami1163221:15621
    5Nashville SC1262422:15720
    6Charlotte1261519:14519
    7New York Red Bulls1253419:13618
    8Orlando City1246221:15618
    9New England Revolution1152412:10217
    10New York City1252513:14-117
    11Chicago Fire1244420:23-316
    12DC United1233613:25-1212
    13Toronto FC1224610:16-610
    14Atlanta Utd1224613:22-910
    15CF Montreal121386:16-106

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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