Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.36
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
817
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.85
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
178
Tackles
92% (12/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
3632
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.362.48
Goals prevented
0.360.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ,
  • 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. , Waterman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Herbers F. , Pearce T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 60', Glesnes J. , Westfield F. ,
  • 60', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 60', Synchuk G. , Clark C. ,
  • 66', Piette S. , Duke B. ,
  • 72', Craig B. 🟨,
  • 80', Petrasso L. , Escobar O. ,
  • 80', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 82', Damiani B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.3%
CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.54)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    6.38
    (5.75)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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