Result
0:0
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : MLS
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/369) | 82% (369/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/369) | 82% (369/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/132) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Pacius W. ↓, Mukhtar H. ↑,
- 62', Mohammed S. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
- 62', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
- 64', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 69', Vassilev I. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
- 69', Sullivan C. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
- 86', Acosta B. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
- 86', Madrigal W. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
- 90+1', Lovitz D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
42.7% | Draw
27.8% | Nashville SC
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.44) |
3.41 ↑
(3.38) |
3.18 ↑
(2.67) |
5.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC?
- Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Nashville will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 62.2% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nashville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Nashville SC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC were as follows:
16.09.2025
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
05.07.2025
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
20.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
3:0
06.04.2024
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
07.10.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
0:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 31 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC ✔ | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | -17 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Nashville SC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
