Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:3
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.39
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
79% (289/364)87% (543/622)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.532.75
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2134
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
917
Passes
79% (289/364)87% (543/622)
Long passes
36% (16/45)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
72% (68/95)84% (133/159)
Crosses
41% (7/17)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.48
Throw-ins
169
Fouls
179
Tackles
50% (13/26)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5946
Clearances
3218
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.751.53
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. , Svensson D. (A),
  • 30', Akpoguma K. , Nsoki S. ,
  • 34', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 42', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Hlozek A. , Stach A. (A),
  • 64', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 68', Nmecha F. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 68', Gittens J. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 71', Bulter M. , Jurasek D. ,
  • 71', Hlozek A. , Tabakovic H. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Brandt J. , Svensson D. (A),
  • 77', Ryerson J. , Couto Y. ,
  • 77', Geiger D. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 81', Sule N. , Reyna G. ,
  • 81', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Kaderabek P. , Jurasek D. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Anton W. , Guirassy S. (A),
  • 90+7', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Kaderabek P. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Stach A. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Tohumcu U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
23.6%
Draw
23.8%
Borussia Dortmund
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 23.3% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 22.9% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (3.75)
    4.06
    (4.15)
    1.82
    (1.89)
    4%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Borussia Dortmund will win! (59 of 71 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 1.
    • Hoffenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia D is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bischof T. (Yellow Cards) Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 30:34 (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:1
    25.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 2:3
    01.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:0
    29.09.2023 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    25.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 0:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 331911370:412968
    3Eintracht Frankfurt33169865:452057
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund331661168:511754
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9Stuttgart331381261:511047
    10B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    11Augsburg3311101234:49-1543
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14St. Pauli33881728:39-1132
    15Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
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