Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona
Result
3:1
15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.850.49
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (352/421)85% (436/512)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.850.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.310.20
Total shots
187
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3620
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (352/421)85% (436/512)
Long passes
38% (20/52)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
72% (72/100)73% (78/107)
Crosses
31% (8/26)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.97
Fouls
1411
Tackles
60% (12/20)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5047
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.204.31
Goals prevented
0.201.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 35', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. , Bensebaini R. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Bensebaini R. (Own goal), Lopez F. (A),
  • 56', Nmecha F. 🟨,
  • 59', Gavi , Pedri ,
  • 64', Nmecha F. , Reyna G. ,
  • 64', Beier M. , Duranville J. ,
  • 70', Lopez F. , Garcia E. ,
  • 70', Yamal L. , Torres F. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Guirassy S. ,
  • 77', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 77', Couto Y. , Brandt J. ,
  • 86', Lewandowski R. , Olmo D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4rtfkwby

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund 27.4%Draw 23.2%Barcelona 49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Borussia Dortmund 66.5%Draw 20.2%Barcelona 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Borussia Dortmund 68.6%Draw 20.8%Barcelona 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+41.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-36.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (1.4)
    4.15
    (4.6)
    1.95
    (7)
    3.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Barcelona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Borussia D could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0
    11.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 2:3
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Barcelona
    12.04.2025 Leganés - Barcelona 0:1
    05.04.2025 Barcelona - Betis 1:1
    30.03.2025 Barcelona - Girona 4:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Juventus (20)PSV (14)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    2Arsenal (3)Bye
    3Manchester City (22)Real Madrid (11)1 : 3, 2 : 3
    4Atl. Madrid (5)Bye
    5Brest (18)PSG (15)0 : 7, 0 : 3
    6Liverpool (1)Bye
    7Club Brugge KV (24)Atalanta (9)3 : 1, 2 : 1
    8Aston Villa (8)Bye
    9Monaco (17)Benfica (16)3 : 3, 0 : 1
    10Barcelona (2)Bye
    11Sporting CP (23)Dortmund (10)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    12Lille (7)Bye
    13Celtic (21)Bayern Munich (12)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    14Bayer Leverkusen (6)Bye
    15Feyenoord (19)AC Milan (13)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    16Inter (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSV (14)Arsenal (3)2 : 2, 1 : 7
    2Real Madrid (11)Atl. Madrid (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    3PSG (15)Liverpool (1)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    4Club Brugge KV (24)Aston Villa (8)0 : 3, 1 : 3
    5Benfica (16)Barcelona (2)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    6Dortmund (10)Lille (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Bayern Munich (12)Bayer Leverkusen (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0
    8Feyenoord (19)Inter (4)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Arsenal (3)Real Madrid (11)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    2PSG (15)Aston Villa (8)2 : 3, 3 : 1
    3Barcelona (2)Dortmund (10)1 : 3, 4 : 0
    4Bayern Munich (12)Inter (4)2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Arsenal (3)PSG (15)0 : 1
    2Barcelona (2)Inter (4)3 : 3

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, RTL Club
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilMax
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    irelandIrelandShabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandCANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones
    surinameSurinameATV Suriname
    swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyTabii
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
    worldWorldDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan