Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.85	0.49
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
11	2
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
84% (352/421)	85% (436/512)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.85	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.31	0.20
Total shots
18	7
Shots on target
11	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
36	20
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
84% (352/421)	85% (436/512)
Long passes
38% (20/52)	38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
72% (72/100)	73% (78/107)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.67	0.97
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
60% (12/20)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
50	47
Clearances Total
18	26
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	8
xGOT faced
0.20	4.31
Goals prevented
0.20	1.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
35', de Jong F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Bensebaini R. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Bensebaini R. (Own goal), Lopez F. (A),
56', Nmecha F. 🟨,
59', Gavi ↓, Pedri ↑,
64', Nmecha F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
64', Beier M. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
70', Lopez F. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
70', Yamal L. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽,
77', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
77', Couto Y. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
86', Lewandowski R. ↓, Olmo D. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4rtfkwby

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
27.4%

Draw
23.2%

Barcelona
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.8%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+41.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-36.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (1.4)	4.15 ↓ (4.6)	1.95 ↓ (7)	3.8% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona?

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 20 - 25.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 47 - 60.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 49.4% – 71.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Barcelona (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

AH +0.5 - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barcelona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Borussia D could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Barcelona?

Borussia Dortmund has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Borussia Dortmund?

Barcelona has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona were as follows:

09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0

11.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 2:3

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺

30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona

12.04.2025 Leganés - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Barcelona - Betis 1:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Barcelona - Girona 4:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV

Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, RTL Club
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Max
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones
Suriname	ATV Suriname
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+