Bologna vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	2.17
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
80% (342/426)	77% (267/347)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	2.65
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
4	11
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
11	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
80% (342/426)	77% (267/347)
Long passes
53% (32/60)	33% (22/66)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)	57% (40/70)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	0.92
Throw-ins
22	21
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
72% (13/18)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
63	50
Clearances
23	29
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.65	1.02
Goals prevented
1.65	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
48', Makengo J. 🟨,
56', Skorupski L. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Adamu J. (Pen),
65', Lienhart P. 🟨,
66', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
66', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
66', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
67', Holm E. 🟨,
75', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
77', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
80', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
80', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
88', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
90+3', Ferguson L. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bologna
49.1%

Draw
28%

Freiburg
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bologna - Freiburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	4.12 ↑ (3.25)	4.3% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bologna - Freiburg?

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 57.7% – 85.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 7 - 70%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Bologna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Freiburg?

Bologna has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bologna?

Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Freiburg were as follows:

Latest results of Bologna

28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Freiburg

28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
3	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
4	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
5	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
6	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
7	D. Zagreb	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
8	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
10	Genk	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
12	FC Porto	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
13	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
14	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
15	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
18	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
19	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
21	Nottingham	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
22	Crvena zvezda	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	Ferencvaros	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
24	PAOK	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
25	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
26	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
27	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
28	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
29	Basel	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
30	Salzburg	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
32	Rangers	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
33	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
35	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Freiburg?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus